Cittadella vs Ospitaletto: match statistics
Cittadella presents a clear advantage as the host with a 46% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+5) in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.31 goals per home game with only 31% of matches without scoring, demonstrating their offensive effectiveness. Ospitaletto, as the visitor, has weak statistics – only 21% away wins, 43% losses, and a negative goal difference (-3). The guests fail to score a goal in 43% of their away fixtures, which, combined with Cittadella's solid defense (31% clean sheets), could be a key factor. Higher xG values for the hosts (1.51 vs 1.24) and better ball possession (54% vs 51%) additionally argue for a Cittadella victory, although the form of both teams in the last five matches is similar, increasing the chance of a draw.
Cittadella vs Ospitaletto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cittadella played Ospitaletto in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Cittadella: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Ospitaletto: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cittadella scores 1.18 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Ospitaletto scores 1.04 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cittadella 46%, Ospitaletto 57%. Over 2.5: Cittadella 39%, Ospitaletto 43%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Cittadella has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.44. Cittadella: 11.5 shots per match, Ospitaletto: 11.1.
Match halves
Cittadella: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.86. Ospitaletto: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Cittadella: 76-90+ (9 goals). Ospitaletto: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cittadella presents a clear advantage as the host with a 46% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+5) in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.31 goals per home game with only 31% of matches without scoring, demonstrating their offensive effectiveness. Ospitaletto, as the visitor, has weak statistics – only 21% away wins, 43% losses, and a negative goal difference (-3). The guests fail to score a goal in 43% of their away fixtures, which, combined with Cittadella's solid defense (31% clean sheets), could be a key factor. Higher xG values for the hosts (1.51 vs 1.24) and better ball possession (54% vs 51%) additionally argue for a Cittadella victory, although the form of both teams in the last five matches is similar, increasing the chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cittadella | Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cittadella is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Cittadella · 1.2 pts / match - Ospitaletto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cittadella is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Cittadella · 1.04 goals / match - Ospitaletto
Cittadella scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Ospitaletto keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Ospitaletto scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cittadella
Over / Under - Ospitaletto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cittadella is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Cittadella · 1.07 pts / match - Ospitaletto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cittadella - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ospitaletto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cittadella
Ospitaletto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Cittadella | Liga | Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.25 | 2.28 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cittadella 1 - 0 - 0 Ospitaletto. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cittadella vs Ospitaletto?
The Serie C Group A match finished Cittadella 2:2 Ospitaletto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cittadella vs Ospitaletto?
Cittadella score 1.18 goals per game on average and Ospitaletto 1.04. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Cittadella's matches and 57% of Ospitaletto's.
What form are Cittadella and Ospitaletto in?
Over the last 5 games Cittadella have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Ospitaletto 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cittadella vs Ospitaletto?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.