Cittadella vs Pergolettese: match statistics

Cittadella remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while Pergolettese suffered 1 defeat over the same period. The hosts scored 7 goals during this run, one more than their opponents, while conceding 5 compared to Pergolettese’s 6. Cittadella’s points tally from their last five matches stands at 1.8 points per game, clearly higher than Pergolettese’s 1.2. The high number of draws on both sides increases the likelihood of a closely contested match, but the hosts’ more consistent defensive record and unbeaten run point towards a narrow Cittadella win.

Recent form points to a moderate likelihood of both teams scoring: Cittadella recorded BTTS in 60% of their previous five matches, compared with 40% for Pergolettese. The hosts scored 7 goals during this period, averaging 1.4 per match, while the visitors scored 6, averaging 1.2. However, both defenses allowed opponents to create high-quality chances, with average xG against them standing at 1.84 and 1.78, respectively. Cittadella conceded an average of 1.0 goal, while Pergolettese conceded 1.2, giving both sides a realistic chance of finding the net. The lack of season-long data reduces confidence in the prediction, but the current goal-scoring figures and xG slightly support BTTS - Yes.

The available form from the last five matches points to consistent goal production: Cittadella averaged 1.4 goals, while Pergolettese averaged 1.2. Both defenses conceded 1.0 and 1.2 goals per match respectively during this period, which supports going over the low two-goal threshold. The signal is reinforced by the xG figures: the hosts created chances worth 1.39 xG, the visitors 1.26 xG, while their respective opponents generated as much as 1.84 and 1.78 xG. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Cittadella’s 5 matches and 3 of Pergolettese’s 5, making the 2.5 line evenly balanced, while Over 1.5 offers a clearly greater safety margin.

Cittadella are unbeaten in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding just 1.0, while Pergolettese have recorded only a 20% win rate during this period and concede an average of 1.2 goals. The hosts have been particularly strong starters: they led at the break in 60% of their recent matches, scoring an average of 1.0 first-half goals and allowing opponents just 0.4. Pergolettese were ahead at half-time in 40% of their matches, but just as often—also 40%—they went into the interval trailing, with an average of only 0.6 goals scored before the break. After half-time, both teams record the same average of 0.6 goals scored, suggesting that Cittadella have solid foundations for maintaining their advantage after taking an early lead. The strongest HT/FT scenario is therefore a Cittadella lead at half-time followed by a home win: 1/1.