Cittadella vs Renate: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between Cittadella and Renate. The hosts show solid home form with a 42% win rate at home and a goal difference of +4, however, their last five overall matches have yielded only 0.8 points per game. Renate impresses with excellent away form (46% wins, 38% draws) and outstanding form in their last five matches (2 points per game, 3-1-1 record). A key factor is the identical goal difference of both teams on their own grounds (+4), suggesting a balance of power. Cittadella has an advantage in possession (54% vs 47%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.47 vs 1.35 xG for the guests away), however, Renate is characterized by better efficiency and defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away). Taking all parameters into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight statistical advantage of the hosts makes their victory marginally more probable than the success of the guests.
Cittadella vs Renate: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cittadella played Renate in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 16 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Cittadella: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Renate: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cittadella scores 1.08 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Renate scores 1.19 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cittadella 42%, Renate 50%. Over 2.5: Cittadella 35%, Renate 35%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Renate has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.46. Cittadella: 11.2 shots per match, Renate: 11.4.
Match halves
Cittadella: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.81. Renate: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Cittadella: 76-90+ (8 goals). Renate: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between Cittadella and Renate. The hosts show solid home form with a 42% win rate at home and a goal difference of +4, however, their last five overall matches have yielded only 0.8 points per game. Renate impresses with excellent away form (46% wins, 38% draws) and outstanding form in their last five matches (2 points per game, 3-1-1 record). A key factor is the identical goal difference of both teams on their own grounds (+4), suggesting a balance of power. Cittadella has an advantage in possession (54% vs 47%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.47 vs 1.35 xG for the guests away), however, Renate is characterized by better efficiency and defensive solidity (38% clean sheets away). Taking all parameters into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight statistical advantage of the hosts makes their victory marginally more probable than the success of the guests.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cittadella | Renate | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Renate is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Cittadella · 2.2 pts / match - Renate
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Renate is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Cittadella · 1.19 goals / match - Renate
Renate is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Cittadella · 0.88 goals / match - Renate
Cittadella scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
Renate scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cittadella
Over / Under - Renate
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Renate is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Cittadella · 1.85 pts / match - Renate
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cittadella - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Renate - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cittadella
Renate
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Cittadella | Liga | Renate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.12 | 2.24 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 65% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cittadella 0 - 1 - 0 Renate. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cittadella vs Renate?
The Serie C Group A match finished Cittadella 2:1 Renate. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cittadella vs Renate?
Cittadella score 1.08 goals per game on average and Renate 1.19. The Serie C Group A average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Cittadella's matches and 50% of Renate's.
What form are Cittadella and Renate in?
Over the last 5 games Cittadella have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Renate 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cittadella vs Renate?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cittadella vs Renate: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.