Clermont vs Pau: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Clermont presents solid home form with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% defeats, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per game at home. Pau is slightly more effective offensively on the road (1.67 goals on average per away match) and has a better away win percentage (42%), but their form over the last 5 matches is weaker (0.8 PPG) compared to Clermont (1.2 PPG). The key factor is the defense - Pau concedes an average of 1.67 goals away, which, combined with the hosts' decent offense, could lead to a high-scoring game. Given both teams' similar xG values (Clermont 1.29 vs Pau 1.34) and current form, a draw seems the safest pick, although Clermont's slight edge stems from better recent form and home-field advantage.
Clermont vs Pau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Clermont played Pau in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Clermont: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Pau: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Clermont scores 1.15 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Pau scores 1.50 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Clermont 62%, Pau 58%. Over 2.5: Clermont 50%, Pau 69%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Pau has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.13. Clermont: 10.3 shots per match, Pau: 12.7.
Match halves
Clermont: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.73. Pau: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Clermont: 46-60 (7 goals). Pau: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Clermont presents solid home form with a record of 33% wins, 33% draws, and 33% defeats, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per game at home. Pau is slightly more effective offensively on the road (1.67 goals on average per away match) and has a better away win percentage (42%), but their form over the last 5 matches is weaker (0.8 PPG) compared to Clermont (1.2 PPG). The key factor is the defense - Pau concedes an average of 1.67 goals away, which, combined with the hosts' decent offense, could lead to a high-scoring game. Given both teams' similar xG values (Clermont 1.29 vs Pau 1.34) and current form, a draw seems the safest pick, although Clermont's slight edge stems from better recent form and home-field advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Clermont | Pau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Clermont is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Clermont · 0.8 pts / match - Pau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pau is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Clermont · 1.5 goals / match - Pau
Clermont is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Clermont · 1.69 goals / match - Pau
Clermont scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Pau scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Clermont keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Clermont
Over / Under - Pau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pau is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Clermont · 1.31 pts / match - Pau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Clermont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Clermont
Pau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Clermont | Liga | Pau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.45 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 64% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Clermont 0 - 0 - 1 Pau. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Clermont vs Pau?
The Ligue 2 match finished Clermont 0:1 Pau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Clermont vs Pau?
Clermont score 1.15 goals per game on average and Pau 1.50. The Ligue 2 average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Clermont's matches and 58% of Pau's.
What form are Clermont and Pau in?
Over the last 5 games Clermont have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Pau 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Clermont vs Pau?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.