Coastal Union vs Mtibwa Sugar: match statistics
Coastal Union vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Coastal Union play Mtibwa Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Coastal Union: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Coastal Union scores 1.03 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Coastal Union 50%, Mtibwa Sugar 50%. Over 2.5: Coastal Union 37%, Mtibwa Sugar 53%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Coastal Union has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.00. Coastal Union: 5.8 shots per match, Mtibwa Sugar: 3.5.
Match halves
Coastal Union: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.37. Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Coastal Union: 0-15 (8 goals). Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Coastal Union are the favorites in this matchup at home: they average 1.00 goals per game at home with xG 1.29 and concede only 0.86 goals, while Mtibwa Sugar have just 0.14 goals per away game with xG 0.82. The hosts average 7.25 shots and 2.25 on target at home with a 14% conversion rate, whereas the visitors register only 4.17 shots and 2.17 on target per away game with merely 4% conversion. In the last 5 matches Coastal have scored 5 and conceded 8 (1W, 1D, 3L; PPG 0.8), and Mtibwa have 4 scored and 11 conceded (0W, 2D, 3L; PPG 0.4), indicating worse form and greater defensive vulnerability for the visitors. A key advantage for the hosts is that Mtibwa have not won away (Win% away = 0) and fail to score in 86% of away trips, while Coastal fail to score in only 14% of home matches. Considering the xG gap (1.29 vs 0.82), shot volume (7.25 vs 4.17) and conversion (14% vs 4%), I forecast a Coastal Union win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Coastal Union | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.69 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Coastal Union is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Coastal Union · 0.83 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Coastal Union is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Coastal Union · 1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Coastal Union scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Coastal Union keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Coastal Union
Over / Under — Mtibwa Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Coastal Union is 104% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Coastal Union · 0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Coastal Union - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Coastal Union
Mtibwa Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Coastal Union | Liga | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.27 | 2.17 | ▲ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 39% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 39% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Coastal Union 0 - 1 - 0 Mtibwa Sugar. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Coastal Union vs Mtibwa Sugar?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Coastal Union 1:1 Mtibwa Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Coastal Union vs Mtibwa Sugar?
Coastal Union score 1.03 goals per game on average and Mtibwa Sugar 0.83. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Coastal Union's matches and 50% of Mtibwa Sugar's.
What form are Coastal Union and Mtibwa Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games Coastal Union have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Mtibwa Sugar 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coastal Union vs Mtibwa Sugar?
The statistical background for Coastal Union vs Mtibwa Sugar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.