Cobresal vs La Serena: match statistics
Cobresal is displaying impressive home form with a 100% win record (2/2) and an average of 2 goals per game at home. The hosts hold a clear advantage in offensive efficiency, evidenced by a shot conversion rate of 14% and an average of 6.5 shots on target per match. Conversely, La Serena is winless on the road this season, losing all away fixtures to date (Loss% 100%) without scoring a single goal (FTS% 100%). The disparity in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: Cobresal posts an xG of 1.62 at home compared to La Serena's mere 0.93 away. Given the visitors' disastrous form and Cobresal's excellent results on home turf, I strongly favor a home victory.
Cobresal vs La Serena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cobresal played La Serena in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Cobresal: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match. La Serena: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cobresal scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. La Serena scores 0.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cobresal 75%, La Serena 50%. Over 2.5: Cobresal 50%, La Serena 25%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Cobresal has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.08. Cobresal: 11.5 shots per match, La Serena: 9.0.
Match halves
Cobresal: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. La Serena: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Cobresal: 0-15 (2 goals). La Serena: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cobresal is displaying impressive home form with a 100% win record (2/2) and an average of 2 goals per game at home. The hosts hold a clear advantage in offensive efficiency, evidenced by a shot conversion rate of 14% and an average of 6.5 shots on target per match. Conversely, La Serena is winless on the road this season, losing all away fixtures to date (Loss% 100%) without scoring a single goal (FTS% 100%). The disparity in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts: Cobresal posts an xG of 1.62 at home compared to La Serena's mere 0.93 away. Given the visitors' disastrous form and Cobresal's excellent results on home turf, I strongly favor a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cobresal | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cobresal is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.75 pts / match - Cobresal · 0.5 pts / match - La Serena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cobresal is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Cobresal · 0.75 goals / match - La Serena
La Serena is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Cobresal · 1.25 goals / match - La Serena
Cobresal scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
La Serena scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Cobresal keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cobresal
Over / Under - La Serena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cobresal is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Cobresal · 1.5 pts / match - La Serena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cobresal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cobresal
La Serena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cobresal | Liga | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.25 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cobresal 2 - 0 - 0 La Serena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cobresal vs La Serena?
The Primera División match finished Cobresal 0:1 La Serena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cobresal and La Serena?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cobresal won 2, La Serena won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cobresal vs La Serena?
Cobresal score 1.50 goals per game on average and La Serena 0.75. The Primera División average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Cobresal's matches and 50% of La Serena's.
What form are Cobresal and La Serena in?
Over the last 5 games Cobresal have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and La Serena 0-2-2 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cobresal vs La Serena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cobresal vs La Serena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.