Colchester United vs Barnet: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between Colchester United and Barnet. The home side boasts a better home record (47% win rate) and an advantage in average goals scored at home (1.6 vs 1.13 for the visitors away). However, their recent form is a cause for concern – just 1 win in their last 5 matches and 0.8 points per game. Barnet displays more stable form (1.2 points per game in their last 5 matches) and an impressive 47% clean sheet rate away from home, making them a tough opponent. Both teams occupy similar positions in the table (12th and 11th place) and have an almost identical seasonal record (12-10-9 vs 12-11-9). Considering both teams' high draw percentages (27% for the hosts at home, 40% for the visitors away) and their balanced xG values, the most likely outcome is a draw.
Colchester United vs Barnet: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colchester United played Barnet in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Colchester United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Barnet: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colchester United scores 1.42 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Barnet scores 1.28 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colchester United 55%, Barnet 50%. Over 2.5: Colchester United 29%, Barnet 41%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Barnet has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.38. Colchester United: 11.8 shots per match, Barnet: 14.3.
Match halves
Colchester United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.58. Barnet: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Colchester United: 0-15 (12 goals). Barnet: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match between Colchester United and Barnet. The home side boasts a better home record (47% win rate) and an advantage in average goals scored at home (1.6 vs 1.13 for the visitors away). However, their recent form is a cause for concern – just 1 win in their last 5 matches and 0.8 points per game. Barnet displays more stable form (1.2 points per game in their last 5 matches) and an impressive 47% clean sheet rate away from home, making them a tough opponent. Both teams occupy similar positions in the table (12th and 11th place) and have an almost identical seasonal record (12-10-9 vs 12-11-9). Considering both teams' high draw percentages (27% for the hosts at home, 40% for the visitors away) and their balanced xG values, the most likely outcome is a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colchester United | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barnet is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Colchester United · 1.2 pts / match - Barnet
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colchester United is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Colchester United · 1.28 goals / match - Barnet
Colchester United scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Barnet keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Barnet scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colchester United
Over / Under - Barnet
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barnet is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Colchester United · 1.44 pts / match - Barnet
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barnet - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colchester United
Barnet
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Colchester United | Liga | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 76% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Colchester United 0 - 1 - 0 Barnet. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colchester United vs Barnet?
The EFL League Two match finished Colchester United 4:1 Barnet. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colchester United vs Barnet?
Colchester United score 1.42 goals per game on average and Barnet 1.28. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Colchester United's matches and 50% of Barnet's.
What form are Colchester United and Barnet in?
Over the last 5 games Colchester United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Barnet 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colchester United vs Barnet?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.