Colchester United vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
The match promises to be a very balanced clash between two teams in good form. Colchester United presents a solid attitude at home with 46% wins at their own stadium and a good run of 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Grimsby Town is in capital form with 5 wins in a row, giving them 3 points per match in recent meetings. The visitors have a better away record (38% wins, 31% clean sheets) than the hosts do at home. The xG statistics are close (1.57 for the hosts vs 1.38 for the visitors), which suggests a balanced quality of play. Considering the high form of the visitors, the solidity of the hosts on their own turf, and the history of draws for both teams (31% for the hosts, 38% for the visitors), a draw seems the most likely result.
Colchester United vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colchester United played Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Colchester United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Grimsby Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colchester United scores 1.58 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.46 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colchester United 62%, Grimsby Town 46%. Over 2.5: Colchester United 35%, Grimsby Town 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.36. Colchester United: 11.4 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 13.8.
Match halves
Colchester United: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Colchester United: 0-15 (11 goals). Grimsby Town: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be a very balanced clash between two teams in good form. Colchester United presents a solid attitude at home with 46% wins at their own stadium and a good run of 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Grimsby Town is in capital form with 5 wins in a row, giving them 3 points per match in recent meetings. The visitors have a better away record (38% wins, 31% clean sheets) than the hosts do at home. The xG statistics are close (1.57 for the hosts vs 1.38 for the visitors), which suggests a balanced quality of play. Considering the high form of the visitors, the solidity of the hosts on their own turf, and the history of draws for both teams (31% for the hosts, 38% for the visitors), a draw seems the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colchester United | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grimsby Town is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Colchester United · 2.6 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colchester United is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Colchester United · 1.46 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Colchester United scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Grimsby Town scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colchester United
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colchester United
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Colchester United | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.69 | 2.63 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 25% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Colchester United 1 - 0 - 0 Grimsby Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colchester United vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Colchester United 0:1 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colchester United vs Grimsby Town?
Colchester United score 1.58 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.46. The EFL League Two average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Colchester United's matches and 46% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Colchester United and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Colchester United have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Grimsby Town 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colchester United vs Grimsby Town?
The statistical background for Colchester United vs Grimsby Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.