Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons hold a distinct advantage in this matchup. The visitors sit 4th in the table with an impressive 45% away win rate, whereas Colchester United are ranked 10th with just a 36% home win rate. Form is a key factor – MK Dons have averaged 1.6 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, compared to just 1.0 for the hosts. The visitors boast a superior scoring average away (2.09) than the hosts do at home (1.73), and notably, they have maintained a perfect scoring record on the road (0% FTS%). Goal difference also favors MK Dons (+10 away vs +6 for Colchester at home). The visitors' higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 12%) and superior recent form suggest an away victory, although the hosts may offer resistance given their possession advantage (56%).
Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colchester United played Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 1 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Colchester United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Milton Keynes Dons: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colchester United scores 1.61 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.91 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colchester United 65%, Milton Keynes Dons 65%. Over 2.5: Colchester United 35%, Milton Keynes Dons 61%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Colchester United has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.38. Colchester United: 11.7 shots per match, Milton Keynes Dons: 12.1.
Match halves
Colchester United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Colchester United: 0-15 (10 goals). Milton Keynes Dons: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons hold a distinct advantage in this matchup. The visitors sit 4th in the table with an impressive 45% away win rate, whereas Colchester United are ranked 10th with just a 36% home win rate. Form is a key factor – MK Dons have averaged 1.6 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, compared to just 1.0 for the hosts. The visitors boast a superior scoring average away (2.09) than the hosts do at home (1.73), and notably, they have maintained a perfect scoring record on the road (0% FTS%). Goal difference also favors MK Dons (+10 away vs +6 for Colchester at home). The visitors' higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 12%) and superior recent form suggest an away victory, although the hosts may offer resistance given their possession advantage (56%).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colchester United | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Milton Keynes Dons is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Colchester United · 1.6 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - Colchester United · 1.91 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Colchester United · 1.09 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Colchester United scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colchester United
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Colchester United · 1.78 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 48%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colchester United
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Colchester United | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.83 | 2.62 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 75% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The EFL League Two match finished Colchester United 1:0 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Colchester United score 1.61 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.91. The EFL League Two average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Colchester United's matches and 65% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Colchester United and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Colchester United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The statistical background for Colchester United vs Milton Keynes Dons — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.