Colchester United vs Walsall: match statistics
The match is shaping up to be a closely contested encounter between two teams in similar form. Colchester United display better home form with a 44% win rate at home and a +11 goal difference at their own stadium, however, their last five matches overall (0.8 PPG) indicate a dip in form. Walsall boasts better recent form (1.4 PPG) and an impressive 47% away win rate, making them a dangerous opponent. A key factor is Colchester's advantage in possession (57% vs 39%) and higher xG in home matches (1.56 vs 1.21 for Walsall away), which could translate to game control. Considering both teams' high draw rates (28% for the hosts at home, 26% for the visitors away) and similar shooting statistics, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the chances of victory for either side remain almost identical.
Colchester United vs Walsall: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colchester United played Walsall in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Colchester United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Walsall: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colchester United scores 1.32 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Walsall scores 1.23 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colchester United 50%, Walsall 49%. Over 2.5: Colchester United 32%, Walsall 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Colchester United has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.28. Colchester United: 11.8 shots per match, Walsall: 11.0.
Match halves
Colchester United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.61. Walsall: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Colchester United: 0-15 (12 goals). Walsall: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is shaping up to be a closely contested encounter between two teams in similar form. Colchester United display better home form with a 44% win rate at home and a +11 goal difference at their own stadium, however, their last five matches overall (0.8 PPG) indicate a dip in form. Walsall boasts better recent form (1.4 PPG) and an impressive 47% away win rate, making them a dangerous opponent. A key factor is Colchester's advantage in possession (57% vs 39%) and higher xG in home matches (1.56 vs 1.21 for Walsall away), which could translate to game control. Considering both teams' high draw rates (28% for the hosts at home, 26% for the visitors away) and similar shooting statistics, the most likely scenario is a share of the points, although the chances of victory for either side remain almost identical.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Over the course of the season, BTTS is close to the league average (Colchester 50%, Walsall 47% vs 52% in the league), but short-term form significantly lowers the hosts' chances of scoring. Colchester has averaged only 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches and has just a 20% BTTS rate, supporting the 'no' scenario despite a decent xG for (1.37) indicating inefficiency. Walsall appears more stable defensively (0.8 goals conceded per match in the last 5 and xG against 1.08), which further complicates Colchester's chances of scoring. At the same time, Colchester allows opponents chances (xG against 1.55 in the last 5), so a Walsall goal is quite likely, but the key BTTS risk lies with the hosts. Moderate clean sheet percentages (30% and 26%) and FTS (35% and 32%) do not offset the signal from recent matches, therefore I rate 'BTTS: no' higher.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goalscoring model based on seasonal averages and xG suggests approximately 2.38 total goals (Colchester 1.05, Walsall 1.33). Both teams generate a similar volume of accurate shots (3.70 vs 3.68), but Colchester has a low conversion rate (9%) and in their last 5 matches scores only 0.4 goals per game, which limits the potential for a high score. The seasonal profile supports a moderate goal count: Over 2.5 occurs less frequently (45% for the hosts and 42% for the visitors), and Over 3.5 is particularly low (15% and 26%). Additionally, Under 3.5 dominates on both sides (85% Colchester, 74% Walsall), providing the strongest market signal. Walsall is more efficient (14% conversion) and has a solid defense (1.0 GA; 0.8 GA in last5), making a result around 1:1 / 1:2 more likely than a match with 4+ goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Walsall clearly boasts superior goal-scoring and points-related metrics this season (1.42 goals and 1.68 PPG) compared to Colchester (1.05 goals and 1.40 PPG), and with a similar number of shots on target, they are significantly more clinical (14% vs 9%). The visitors' advantage is even more pronounced in first halves: a higher average goals scored in the first half (0.74 vs 0.40), a lower average goals conceded in the first half (0.47 vs 0.55), and they trail at the break far less frequently (16% vs Colchester's 45%). Recent form over the last 5 matches supports this trend: Colchester averages only 0.4 goals and has not scored before halftime (0.0), while Walsall shows a better balance (1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded). On the other hand, Walsall is solid after the interval (higher points per game in the second half and a 42% win rate in the second period), increasing the likelihood of holding onto a lead. Therefore, I assign the highest probability to the scenario of Walsall leading at the break and winning the match (2/2), with the frequent halftime draw for Walsall (47%) turning into an away win considered as the alternative (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colchester United | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Walsall is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Colchester United · 1.4 pts / match - Walsall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colchester United is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Colchester United · 1.23 goals / match - Walsall
Colchester United scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Walsall keeps a clean sheet in 28% (11 of 39 matches).
Walsall scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colchester United
Over / Under - Walsall
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Walsall is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Colchester United · 1.41 pts / match - Walsall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Walsall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colchester United
Walsall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Colchester United | Liga | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Colchester United 1 - 0 - 0 Walsall. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colchester United vs Walsall?
The EFL League Two match finished Colchester United 1:1 Walsall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colchester United vs Walsall?
Colchester United score 1.32 goals per game on average and Walsall 1.23. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Colchester United's matches and 49% of Walsall's.
What form are Colchester United and Walsall in?
Over the last 5 games Colchester United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Walsall 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colchester United vs Walsall?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.