Colegiales vs San Miguel: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a close match with a high probability of a draw. Colegiales displays excellent home form with a 100% record (1 win in 1 match) and a clean sheet, yet their overall form is very poor (1-0-4). San Miguel shows consistency with a 2-2-1 record, but they have yet to win away from home (0% Win%), drawing all their away matches. The key factor is chance conversion – the visitors are twice as effective (25% vs 13%), but the hosts play at home, where they remain unbeaten. Both teams' low ball possession (30-31%) and similar xG values suggest a tactical, cautious approach. Considering Colegiales' poor overall form and San Miguel's lack of away wins, a draw seems the most likely outcome.
Colegiales vs San Miguel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colegiales played San Miguel in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Colegiales: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. San Miguel: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colegiales scores 0.60 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. San Miguel scores 1.20 and concedes 0.80. League average: 1.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colegiales 40%, San Miguel 60%. Over 2.5: Colegiales 40%, San Miguel 20%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
San Miguel has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.08. Colegiales: 7.8 shots per match, San Miguel: 11.2.
Match halves
Colegiales: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. San Miguel: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Colegiales: 31-45+ (1 goals). San Miguel: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.83 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a close match with a high probability of a draw. Colegiales displays excellent home form with a 100% record (1 win in 1 match) and a clean sheet, yet their overall form is very poor (1-0-4). San Miguel shows consistency with a 2-2-1 record, but they have yet to win away from home (0% Win%), drawing all their away matches. The key factor is chance conversion – the visitors are twice as effective (25% vs 13%), but the hosts play at home, where they remain unbeaten. Both teams' low ball possession (30-31%) and similar xG values suggest a tactical, cautious approach. Considering Colegiales' poor overall form and San Miguel's lack of away wins, a draw seems the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data indicate a limited probability of a goal from the visitors: San Miguel has a low xG to score (0.77) and very few shots (4.0) and shots on target (2.0) per match. Colegiales concedes an average of only 0.75 goals at home and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, which further reduces the chances of BTTS. On the other hand, the hosts generate high offensive xG (1.82), and San Miguel concedes a high xG against (1.81), so a Colegiales goal is likely. The last 5 matches increase the BTTS risk (Colegiales GA 1.6; San Miguel xG 1.69), but this is still not a dominant signal considering the guests' poor 'shot' production. The league context favors the 'No' option (BTTS 42% with a very high CS rate of 74%), reinforcing the selection of BTTS: No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The league is clearly under-oriented (average goals 1.88, Over 2.5 only 32%), which lowers the baseline goal projection. Both teams have a 100% record of matches under 3.5 goals this season (seasonUnder35Percentage: Colegiales 100%, San Miguel 100%) and very low Over 2.5 rates (Colegiales 25%, San Miguel 0%). The match profile supports a lower scoring outcome: San Miguel generates few shots (4.0 per match, 2.0 on target) and a low attacking xG (0.77), which limits their goal contribution. Colegiales have a creative edge (xG for 1.82, 13 shots), but at the same time their conversion rate is average (10%), and league and historical score distributions suggest that even with home advantage, the score rarely escalates to 4+ goals. The last 5 matches show elevated GA (Colegiales 1.6, San Miguel 1.4), yet this still more often leads to scores around 1–2/2–1 than to very high overs. Therefore, the strongest signal from the data is the Under 3.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The model indicates Colegiales' advantage in terms of chance quality: xG 1.82 vs 0.77 and xG against 1.26 vs 1.81, as well as a significantly higher shot volume (13.0 vs 4.0). The first halves appear cautious and low-scoring (both teams' AVGHT 1.0, BTTS HT 0%), increasing the probability of a draw at the break. The key factor is the second-half profile: Colegiales scores an average of 0.75 goals after halftime and concedes only 0.25, while San Miguel fails to score after the break (0.0) and concedes an average of 1.0. The league exhibits a significant home advantage (home overall advantage 55% and home attack advantage 69%), supporting a post-break turnaround scenario. Simultaneously, 100% of San Miguel's draws this season add weight to the Draw/Draw variant as an alternative, but the second-half data favors Draw/Home Win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colegiales | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
San Miguel is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Colegiales · 1.6 pts / match - San Miguel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Miguel is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
0.6 goals / match - Colegiales · 1.2 goals / match - San Miguel
San Miguel is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Colegiales · 0.8 goals / match - San Miguel
Colegiales scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while San Miguel keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
San Miguel scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Colegiales keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colegiales
Over / Under - San Miguel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Miguel is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Colegiales · 2 pts / match - San Miguel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colegiales - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
San Miguel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 40%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colegiales
San Miguel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Colegiales | Liga | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.20 | 1.83 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 41% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 39% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 63% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Colegiales 0 - 1 - 1 San Miguel. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colegiales vs San Miguel?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Colegiales 0:0 San Miguel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colegiales and San Miguel?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 0, San Miguel won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colegiales vs San Miguel?
Colegiales score 0.60 goals per game on average and San Miguel 1.20. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Colegiales's matches and 60% of San Miguel's.
What form are Colegiales and San Miguel in?
Over the last 5 games Colegiales have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and San Miguel 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colegiales vs San Miguel?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.