Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Coleraine played Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 6 December 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Coleraine: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Coleraine scores 2.06 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.07 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Coleraine 56%, Carrick Rangers 53%. Over 2.5: Coleraine 61%, Carrick Rangers 47%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Coleraine has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.27. Coleraine: 14.2 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 9.5.

Match halves

Coleraine: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.22. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Coleraine: 76-90+ (11 goals). Carrick Rangers: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

69Possession (%)31
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
13Shots8
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
4Shots on target6
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
1.55xG1.15
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
5Corners2
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
61Dangerous attacks31
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
18Fouls18
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
4Cards2
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ColeraineCarrick Rangers
2.06Goals scored / match1.07
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
0.83Goals conceded / match1.4
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
63%Average possession44%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
6.11Shots on target / match3.6
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.22Shots per match9.53
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
6.11Shots on target3.6
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
14.5%Shot conversion11.2%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
63%Possession44%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
1.8xG for1.27
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
0.92xG against1.55
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

Shooting quality

Coleraine: DominantCarrick Rangers: Balanced
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)43%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Coleraine is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Coleraine · 0.6 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Coleraine
WDLLW
Season result split
61% W17% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-3-4
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Carrick Rangers
LWLLL
Season result split
33% W7% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-9
1.07 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Coleraine is 93% better for: goals scored per match.

2.06 goals / match - Coleraine · 1.07 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Coleraine is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - Coleraine · 1.4 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Coleraine scoring profile: very strong

Coleraine scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Coleraine keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).

37Goals scored (season)16
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
15Goals conceded (season)21
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
2.89Average goals in match2.47
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
9Goals scored (last 5)4
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal80%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
61%2 goals13%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
28%3 goals7%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
22%4 goals7%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal73%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
22%2 goals53%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
0%3 goals13%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
0%4 goals0%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time27%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
44%Scored in both halves7%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
60%BTTS - last 560%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Coleraine is 123% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.78 pts / match - Coleraine · 0.8 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Coleraine - half-time state
50% leading28% draw22% trailing
Carrick Rangers - half-time state
13% leading40% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.78Points per match (1st half)0.8
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.53
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
1.28Average goals (1st half)1.33
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
72%Clean sheet before half-time33%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
44%No goal before half-time60%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

2.17Points per match (2nd half)1.07
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
1.22Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
1.61Average goals (2nd half)1.13
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
67%Clean sheet after half-time53%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers
22%No goal after half-time53%
ColeraineCarrick Rangers

Coleraine - second-half results

61% W33% D6% L
32
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

20% W47% D33% L
12
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding254%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Coleraine - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Coleraine
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
8
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
5
2
61-75
11
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
6
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
5
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.68
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Coleraine

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.88
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

ColeraineLigaCarrick Rangers
Average goals in match 2.892.67 2.47
Both teams scored 56%47% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%50% 47%
Clean sheets 39%28% 27%
Goal before half-time 78%76% 80%
Goal after half-time 83%78% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Carrick RangersGoalAdam Lecky
  2. ColeraineYellow cardLevi Ives
  3. Carrick RangersYellow cardAdam Lecky
  4. ColeraineYellow cardDylan Boyle
  5. ColeraineGoalCharles Dunne
  6. ColeraineYellow cardCameron Stewart
  7. ColeraineSubstitutionOn: Dean JarvisOff: Cameron Stewart
  8. ColeraineYellow cardCharles Dunne
  9. Carrick RangersYellow cardJoe Crowe
  10. Carrick RangersSubstitutionOn: Paul HeatleyOff: Matthew Snoddy
  11. ColeraineGoalJamie McGonigle
  12. ColeraineSubstitutionOn: Ronan DohertyOff: Jamie Glackin
  13. ColeraineGoalDean Jarvis

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Coleraine 1 - 0 - 0 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Coleraine FC
2 : 1
Carrick Rangers FC

FAQ

What was the result of Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Coleraine 3:1 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers?

Coleraine score 2.06 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.07. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Coleraine's matches and 53% of Carrick Rangers's.

What form are Coleraine and Carrick Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Coleraine have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers?

The statistical background for Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.