Coleraine vs Glentoran: match statistics
Coleraine vs Glentoran: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Coleraine played Glentoran in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 6:2.
Current form
Coleraine: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Glentoran: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Coleraine scores 2.08 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Glentoran scores 1.92 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Coleraine 57%, Glentoran 51%. Over 2.5: Coleraine 59%, Glentoran 51%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Coleraine has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.65. Coleraine: 14.0 shots per match, Glentoran: 13.2.
Match halves
Coleraine: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.24. Glentoran: half-time lead 49%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Coleraine: 76-90+ (19 goals). Glentoran: 31-45+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Coleraine holds a clear form advantage — winning 5 of their last 5 matches and averaging 3.0 points per game over that run, while Glentoran have 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 (1.8 points per game). At home Coleraine averages 2.53 goals and 6.29 shots on target per match, whereas Glentoran away average 2.06 goals and 4.94 shots on target; this translates into superior home efficiency (conversion rate 18% vs 16%). Coleraine have never failed to score at home (0% of home matches without a goal) and have a home xG of 1.72 versus Glentoran’s away xG of 1.65, suggesting slightly higher quality of created chances. Defensively the differences are marginal — Coleraine concede 0.82 goals per home match while Glentoran concede 0.89 away, with clean sheet rates of 41% vs 44%, so the visitors’ defense is unlikely to fully nullify the home advantage. Considering Coleraine’s 82% home win rate versus Glentoran’s 67% away win rate, higher possession (61% vs 51%) and superior home goal averages, I forecast a home win and propose the probability distribution: 62% home, 18% draw, 20% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams generate similar offensive xG (Coleraine 1.66 vs Glentoran 1.65) and score a high number of goals season-to-date (Coleraine 77, Glentoran 71; averaging 1.79 and 2.06 goals per match), indicating strong attacking potential from both sides. In the last 5 matches the signal is even stronger: BTTS occurred in 80% of Coleraine’s games and 60% of Glentoran’s games (70% on average), and Coleraine averaged 3.4 goals in their last 5 matches versus 1.8 for Glentoran. Counterarguments are season clean sheets of 37% for Coleraine and 44% for Glentoran and season BTTS rates of 58% and 44% (average ~51%), which partially offsets the forecast. Considering the high xG (~1.65 for both), 17 and 9 goals in the last 5 matches and the offensive form advantage, I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 62% vs 38% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I back Over 1.5 because season Over 1.5 rates are 79% for Coleraine and 78% for Glentoran, while the league averages 2.85 goals per match. Based on xG: Coleraine has an attacking xG of 1.66 and the opponent xG against 1.11, implying an expected ~1.39 goals for the home side; Glentoran has attacking xG 1.65 and Coleraine xG against 0.82, implying ~1.24 for the visitors (total 2.63). Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (~55%) — season Over 2.5 figures are 47% (Coleraine) and 56% (Glentoran), and Coleraine scored 17 goals in the last 5 matches (100% of games over 2.5). Over 3.5 is unlikely (~30%) as season values are 21% and 39%, so Under 3.5 dominates. Additionally, average shots 13.74 (Coleraine) vs 12.72 (Glentoran), conversion rates 13%/16% and BTTS 58%/44% reinforce a multi-goal scenario, but the strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (home leading at the break and winning at full-time), because Coleraine have excellent home form: 5 wins in their last 5 matches (100%), scoring on average 1.8 goals by half-time and registering an average of 2.2 points in halves. xG values are practically equal (1.66 for Coleraine vs 1.65 for Glentoran), but the hosts have a better xG against at 0.82 vs 1.11, suggesting Coleraine’s defence limits the visitors’ chances. Glentoran are dangerous this season – they led at the break in 61% of matches and have 67% wins on the season, and the visitors’ shot conversion is 16% versus 13% for the hosts, so there is a real risk of an equaliser or a turnaround. Considering Coleraine’s recent home results and their defensive edge in xG against, I have given the greatest weight to 1/1 (30%), with smaller allocations to X/1 (16%) and 1/X (12%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Coleraine | Glentoran | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Coleraine is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Coleraine · 1.8 pts / match - Glentoran
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Coleraine is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
2.08 goals / match - Coleraine · 1.92 goals / match - Glentoran
Glentoran is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Coleraine · 0.86 goals / match - Glentoran
Coleraine scores in 89% of matches (33 of 37 matches), while Glentoran keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).
Glentoran scores in 89% of matches (33 of 37 matches), while Coleraine keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Coleraine
Over / Under - Glentoran
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Glentoran is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Coleraine · 1.81 pts / match - Glentoran
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Coleraine - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Glentoran - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 49% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Coleraine
Glentoran
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Coleraine | Liga | Glentoran | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 51% | • 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Coleraine 0 - 1 - 2 Glentoran. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Coleraine vs Glentoran?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Coleraine 6:2 Glentoran. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Coleraine and Glentoran?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Coleraine won 0, Glentoran won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Coleraine vs Glentoran?
Coleraine score 2.08 goals per game on average and Glentoran 1.92. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Coleraine's matches and 51% of Glentoran's.
What form are Coleraine and Glentoran in?
Over the last 5 games Coleraine have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Glentoran 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coleraine vs Glentoran?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.