Coleraine vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Coleraine played Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 25 November 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Coleraine: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Larne: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Coleraine scores 2.13 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Larne scores 1.86 and concedes 0.43. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Coleraine 56%, Larne 21%. Over 2.5: Coleraine 63%, Larne 29%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Coleraine has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.64. Coleraine: 14.6 shots per match, Larne: 13.4.

Match halves

Coleraine: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.25. Larne: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

Coleraine: 76-90+ (9 goals). Larne: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
ColeraineLarne
10Shots12
ColeraineLarne
3Shots on target6
ColeraineLarne
1.27xG1.45
ColeraineLarne
6Corners4
ColeraineLarne
59Dangerous attacks38
ColeraineLarne
16Fouls20
ColeraineLarne
2Cards3
ColeraineLarne

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.13Goals scored / match1.86
ColeraineLarne
0.81Goals conceded / match0.43
ColeraineLarne
64%Average possession56%
ColeraineLarne
6.38Shots on target / match4.64
ColeraineLarne

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.56Shots per match13.36
ColeraineLarne
6.38Shots on target4.64
ColeraineLarne
14.6%Shot conversion13.9%
ColeraineLarne
64%Possession56%
ColeraineLarne
1.86xG for1.64
ColeraineLarne
0.88xG against0.89
ColeraineLarne

Shooting quality

Coleraine: DominantLarne: Efficient finishing
ColeraineLarne
Accuracy (shots on target)44%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Larne is 63% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Coleraine · 2.6 pts / match - Larne

Coleraine
WDWDL
Season result split
63% W19% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-3-3
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 0.84BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Larne
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
71% W14% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-2-2
2.29 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 0.79BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Coleraine is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

2.13 goals / match - Coleraine · 1.86 goals / match - Larne

Larne is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.81 goals / match - Coleraine · 0.43 goals / match - Larne

Coleraine scoring profile: mixed

Coleraine scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 64% (9 of 14 matches).

Larne scoring profile: very strong

Larne scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Coleraine keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

34Goals scored (season)26
ColeraineLarne
13Goals conceded (season)6
ColeraineLarne
2.94Average goals in match2.29
ColeraineLarne
10Goals scored (last 5)10
ColeraineLarne
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
ColeraineLarne

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal86%
ColeraineLarne
63%2 goals64%
ColeraineLarne
31%3 goals21%
ColeraineLarne
25%4 goals14%
ColeraineLarne

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal36%
ColeraineLarne
19%2 goals7%
ColeraineLarne
0%3 goals0%
ColeraineLarne
0%4 goals0%
ColeraineLarne

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time0%
ColeraineLarne
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ColeraineLarne
44%Scored in both halves29%
ColeraineLarne

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS7%
ColeraineLarne
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
ColeraineLarne
60%BTTS - last 540%
ColeraineLarne

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
ColeraineLarne
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
ColeraineLarne
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ColeraineLarne

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
ColeraineLarne
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
ColeraineLarne
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
ColeraineLarne

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Coleraine - half-time state
50% leading31% draw19% trailing
Larne - half-time state
50% leading29% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.81Points per match (1st half)1.79
ColeraineLarne
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.71
ColeraineLarne
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
ColeraineLarne
1.25Average goals (1st half)1
ColeraineLarne
75%Clean sheet before half-time79%
ColeraineLarne
44%No goal before half-time50%
ColeraineLarne

After half-time (2nd half)

2.06Points per match (2nd half)2.14
ColeraineLarne
1.25Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
ColeraineLarne
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.14
ColeraineLarne
1.69Average goals (2nd half)1.29
ColeraineLarne
63%Clean sheet after half-time86%
ColeraineLarne
25%No goal after half-time36%
ColeraineLarne

Coleraine - second-half results

56% W38% D6% L
29
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Larne - second-half results

64% W21% D14% L
25
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Coleraine - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.20
Goals scored / match0.21.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Larne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.20
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Coleraine
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
8
3
31-45
6
3
46-60
5
2
61-75
9
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Larne
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
8
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
76%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Coleraine

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.98
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Larne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.75
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
30%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

ColeraineLigaLarne
Average goals in match 2.942.67 2.29
Both teams scored 56%45% 21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%49% 29%
Clean sheets 38%29% 64%
Goal before half-time 75%76% 71%
Goal after half-time 81%78% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LarneSubstitutionOn: Jordan McEneffOff: Dan Bent
  2. ColeraineYellow cardMatthew Shevlin
  3. LarneYellow cardTomas Cosgrove
  4. LarneYellow cardTiarnan O'Connor
  5. LarneGoalLeroy Millar
  6. LarneGoalSean Graham
  7. LarneSubstitutionOn: Paul O'NeillOff: Tiarnan O'Connor
  8. ColeraineSubstitutionOn: Lewis McGregorOff: Jamie Glackin
  9. ColeraineYellow cardZane Okoro
  10. ColeraineGoalMatthew ShevlinAssist: William Patching

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Coleraine 1 - 0 - 0 Larne. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Coleraine FC
1 : 0
Larne FC

FAQ

What was the result of Coleraine vs Larne?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Coleraine 1:2 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Coleraine vs Larne?

Coleraine score 2.13 goals per game on average and Larne 1.86. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Coleraine's matches and 21% of Larne's.

What form are Coleraine and Larne in?

Over the last 5 games Coleraine have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Larne 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coleraine vs Larne?

The statistical background for Coleraine vs Larne — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.