Colón vs Central Norte: match statistics
Colón vs Central Norte: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colón played Central Norte in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 12 July 2026. Venue: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Colón: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Central Norte: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colón scores 1.21 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Central Norte scores 0.63 and concedes 0.89. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colón 47%, Central Norte 37%. Over 2.5: Colón 32%, Central Norte 16%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Colón has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.24. Colón: 10.1 shots per match, Central Norte: 10.2.
Match halves
Colón: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Central Norte: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.21.
Goals by minute
Colón: 61-75 (7 goals). Central Norte: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Colón has a clear home advantage: on average they register 11.33 shots and 4.56 shots on target per match, which converts to 1.33 goals scored and xG 1.41 while conceding only 0.56 goals (xG against 0.93). Central Norte away averages 8.5 shots and 2.5 on target, scores only 0.5 goals with xG 1.11 and concedes 1.0 goal; additionally their conversion rate is 6% and as many as 60% of away matches end without a goal scored. In the last 5 matches Colón scored 6 goals and average 1.6 points per game, while the visitors scored 4 goals and average 1.2 points per game; the hosts conceded 3 goals versus 4 for Central Norte. Colón are unbeaten at home (Loss% 0), have a 56% win rate and 56% clean sheets and a positive goal difference of +7, whereas Central Norte have a 60% away loss rate and a negative goal difference of -5. Given superior efficiency (12% vs 6%), higher xG and an advantage in shots on target (4.56 vs 2.5), I expect a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Colón at home average 0.78 goals scored and 0.78 conceded (season: 23 scored, 15 conceded), with home BTTS rate of 44%. Central Norte away score only 0.5 and concede 1.0 (season: 12 scored, 17 conceded), away BTTS 30%, although their away BTTS in the last 5 matches rose to 60%. xG indicates hosts create more chances (xG 1.38) vs opponent xG 1.4, while visitors in the last 5 have xG 1.5 but average only 0.8 goals scored; shots/shots on target are 12/4.78 for Colón vs 8.5/2.5 for Central Norte. Given Colón keep a clean sheet in 44% of home games vs visitors' 20% clean sheets away, together with seasonal BTTS 44% vs 30% and the hosts' shooting advantage, I estimate BTTS at 35% (Yes) vs 65% (No) and select 'No' as the stronger signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: the home xG is 1.38 and xG conceded to Central Norte is 1.40, which averaged gives about 1.39 expected goals for Colón; similarly the away xG is 1.11 and xG conceded to Colón is 0.97, yielding about 1.04 for Central Norte, totaling ~2.43 xG. Actual season goal averages are lower — Colón scores 0.78 on average, Central Norte 0.50 (total 1.28) — but in the last 5 matches these figures are 1.2 and 0.8 (total 2.0), so recent form supports slightly higher efficiency. Colón averages 12.0 shots and 4.78 on target with a conversion rate of 6.0%, while Central Norte averages 8.5 shots and 2.5 on target (conversion also 6.0%), indicating the hosts create significantly more chances. A Poisson model with total expected 2.43 yields approximately a 70% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 44% for 3+ goals (Over 2.5) and about 23% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5). Considering Colón’s higher chance volume, improved last-5 form and relatively low season Over 2.5 rates (11% for Colón and 20% for Central Norte), the strongest and best-justified selection is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict a half-time draw with the home team winning after the break (X/1): Colón were level at the break in 56% of their matches, while Central Norte did so in 40%, indicating a high share of draws at half-time. In second halves Colón show a clear advantage over the last five matches – the hosts averaged 0.8 goals after the break versus 0.0 for the visitors, with second-half goals averaging 1.2 vs 0.2. Additionally Colón have superior offensive metrics (xG 1.38 vs 1.11 and 4.78 shots on target vs 2.5) and a higher season points average (1.22 vs 0.8), which increases the likelihood of a turnaround after half-time. At the same time the league is low-scoring and prone to draws (1.87 goals per match on average and 77% of matches with a clean sheet), so the X/X scenario also has relevance, but the signal for a home turnaround in the second half is stronger.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colón | Central Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colón is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Colón · 1.2 pts / match - Central Norte
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colón is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Colón · 0.63 goals / match - Central Norte
Colón is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.79 goals / match - Colón · 0.89 goals / match - Central Norte
Colón scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Central Norte keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Central Norte scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Colón keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colón
Over / Under - Central Norte
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colón is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Colón · 1.26 pts / match - Central Norte
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colón - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Central Norte - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colón
Central Norte
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Colón | Liga | Central Norte | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.90 | ▼ 1.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 32% | 31% | ▼ 16% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 38% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 57% | • 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Colón 2 - 1 - 0 Central Norte. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colón vs Central Norte?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Colón 4:0 Central Norte. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colón and Central Norte?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Colón won 2, Central Norte won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colón vs Central Norte?
Colón score 1.21 goals per game on average and Central Norte 0.63. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Colón's matches and 37% of Central Norte's.
What form are Colón and Central Norte in?
Over the last 5 games Colón have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Central Norte 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colón vs Central Norte?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


