Colón vs Estudiantes Caseros: match statistics
Colón vs Estudiantes Caseros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colón played Estudiantes Caseros in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Colón: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Estudiantes Caseros: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colón scores 1.23 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Estudiantes Caseros scores 0.94 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colón 39%, Estudiantes Caseros 35%. Over 2.5: Colón 35%, Estudiantes Caseros 29%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Colón has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.18. Colón: 9.8 shots per match, Estudiantes Caseros: 9.3.
Match halves
Colón: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Estudiantes Caseros: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Colón: 46-60 (9 goals). Estudiantes Caseros: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Colón have won 60% of their home matches, while Estudiantes Caseros have won 33% of their away games, giving the hosts a clear home-ground advantage. At home, Colón average 1.6 goals scored and 0.53 conceded, whereas the visitors average 0.73 goals scored and 0.87 conceded away from home. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in chance quality: their average home xG is 1.50, compared with their opponents’ away xG of 1.08. In addition, Colón have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their home matches, while Estudiantes have failed to score in 47% of their away games. However, caution is warranted: the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Colón have won just 1 and scored 4 goals over that period. Despite Estudiantes’ superior recent form, the season’s home and away statistics point to a Colón win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 44% of Colón matches and just 27% of Estudiantes Caseros matches, pointing to a scenario in which at least one team fails to score. The visitors average 0.73 goals per match and have failed to score in 47% of their games, while the hosts concede an average of 0.81 goals. Both defenses regularly keep a clean sheet: Colón in 38% of matches and Estudiantes in 40%. BTTS - Yes landed only once in the hosts’ last five outings, compared with twice for the visitors, whose average goals scored has risen to 1.2. This improvement from the visitors increases the chance of both teams scoring, but their low scoring rate over the season as a whole, together with the league average of 1.93 goals per match, still points to BTTS - No—meaning at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in any of the Estudiantes Caseros matches included, and it held in 94% of Colón’s matches. Under 2.5 goals also landed in 73% and 69% of the respective teams’ matches, pointing to a low-scoring game. Colón average 1.13 goals scored and 0.81 conceded, while the visitors average 0.73 scored and 0.87 conceded per match; the league average is 1.93 goals. Although 40% of each team’s last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, the combined projection of 2.00 goals still clearly favors Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Colón were level at half-time in 10 of 16 matches (63%), compared with 8 of 15 (53%) for Estudiantes Caseros, making a draw after 45 minutes the most likely outcome. The visitors average just 0.20 goals before the break and failed to score in the first half in 87% of their matches. The low-scoring pattern could persist through to full-time: Colón concede an average of 0.81 goals per match, while Estudiantes score 0.73, against a league average of 1.93 goals per game. In second halves, the hosts drew in 56% of matches and the visitors in 47%, further supporting the X/X pick. The visitors’ three wins in their last five matches, compared with Colón’s one, increase the chances of an X/2 outcome, but do not outweigh the teams’ frequent half-time draws and low scoring rates.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colón | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Estudiantes Caseros is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Colón · 2 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colón is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Colón · 0.94 goals / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Colón scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Estudiantes Caseros keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
Estudiantes Caseros scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Colón keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colón
Over / Under - Estudiantes Caseros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colón is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Colón · 1.16 pts / match - Estudiantes Caseros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colón - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Estudiantes Caseros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colón
Estudiantes Caseros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Colón | Liga | Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.03 | 1.93 | ▼ 1.77 |
| Both teams scored | • 39% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 38% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Colón 0 - 2 - 1 Estudiantes Caseros. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colón vs Estudiantes Caseros?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Colón 1:0 Estudiantes Caseros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colón and Estudiantes Caseros?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Colón won 0, Estudiantes Caseros won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colón vs Estudiantes Caseros?
Colón score 1.23 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Caseros 0.94. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Colón's matches and 35% of Estudiantes Caseros's.
What form are Colón and Estudiantes Caseros in?
Over the last 5 games Colón have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Estudiantes Caseros 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colón vs Estudiantes Caseros?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.