Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo: match statistics
Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colorado Rapids played Houston Dynamo in MLS (United States). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 6:2.
Current form
Colorado Rapids: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Houston Dynamo: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colorado Rapids scores 2.17 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Houston Dynamo scores 1.60 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colorado Rapids 67%, Houston Dynamo 60%. Over 2.5: Colorado Rapids 67%, Houston Dynamo 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Houston Dynamo has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.41. Colorado Rapids: 12.2 shots per match, Houston Dynamo: 12.8.
Match halves
Colorado Rapids: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.33. Houston Dynamo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Colorado Rapids: 46-60 (3 goals). Houston Dynamo: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Colorado Rapids win: at home they have a 100% win rate, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game and conceding only 0.5 goals per game. In their last 5 home matches the hosts have scored 13 and conceded 8, recording 3 wins, while Houston in their last 5 matches have scored 8 and conceded 10, with 2 wins. Colorado also dominates in chance volume and quality: they average 17.5 shots and 7.5 on target per home game with an average xG of 1.95, versus 10 shots, 4 on target and xG 1.19 for Houston on the road. Additionally, Dynamo concede an average of 4.0 goals away and have 0% clean sheets on the road, whereas the Rapids have 50% clean sheets at home and a possession advantage of 54% vs 45%. Given the higher shot volume, superior home xG (1.95 vs 1.19) and better points per game in the last 5 (1.8 vs 1.2), the most likely outcome is a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics provide clear support for BTTS: Houston has a season BTTS of 100%, while Colorado has 50% for the season and 80% in the last 5 matches, indicating both teams tend to score. Both sides regularly concede — Houston averages 4.0 goals conceded away, Colorado concedes 1.5 goals at home, and the seasonal clean sheet percentage for both teams is 0%. xG comparison shows Colorado generates 1.5 xG at home versus Houston’s 1.8 xG against, while Houston posts 1.19 xG away against 1.47 xG allowed by Colorado; in the last 5 matches both teams had xG around 1.48 and 1.44. Colorado averaged 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches (13 goals) and Houston 1.6 (8 goals), and the visitors have a high shot conversion of 30% versus 9% for the hosts, increasing the likelihood of an exchange of goals. In light of these numbers the most likely pick is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined expected xG for both teams is about 1.65 for Colorado (home attack xG 1.50 and xG conceded by Houston 1.80) and 1.33 for Houston (attack xG 1.19 and xG conceded by Colorado 1.47), totaling 2.98 xG. With lambda = 2.98 the Poisson distribution yields ~80% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~57% for 3+ goals (Over 2.5) and ~35% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5). Seasonal indicators support this view: Houston has 100% of matches over 1.5 and 100% over 2.5, while Colorado has 75% of matches over 1.5 and 50% over 2.5. Additionally, Houston converts shots at 30% efficiency versus Colorado’s 9% with a similar number of shots on target (4.0 vs 4.0), which increases the chance of goals beyond xG alone. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation), while Over 2.5 remains the second most likely option (~57%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal data show Houston lead at the break in 100% of cases — their average goals by half-time are 3.0 versus 0.0 for Colorado. However, Colorado are clearly stronger after the break: the hosts’ second-half goals average 2.25, with the home side scoring 1.25 on average after the interval, and the hosts have scored 2 goals in minutes 61–75 and 3 goals in minutes 76–90 (a total of 5 goals after the 60th minute). In points the difference is clear: the hosts have earned 6 points in second halves (an average of 1.5 points per match), while the visitors have 0 points and concede an average of 2.0 goals after the break. Additionally, xG and chance creation favour the Rapids — xG 1.5 versus 1.19 for Houston and 13.5 shots for the home side versus 10 for the visitors, despite Houston’s shot conversion being 30% compared to 9% for the Rapids. For these reasons the most likely scenario is Houston leading at half-time and Colorado executing a turnaround in the second half, so I pick 2/1 (36%), with significant probabilities for 2/X at 15% and 2/2 at 9%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colorado Rapids | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colorado Rapids is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Colorado Rapids · 1.2 pts / match - Houston Dynamo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colorado Rapids is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
2.17 goals / match - Colorado Rapids · 1.6 goals / match - Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Colorado Rapids · 2 goals / match - Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Houston Dynamo keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Houston Dynamo scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Colorado Rapids keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colorado Rapids
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colorado Rapids is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Colorado Rapids · 1 pts / match - Houston Dynamo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colorado Rapids - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Houston Dynamo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Colorado Rapids | Liga | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.83 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo?
The MLS match finished Colorado Rapids 6:2 Houston Dynamo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo?
Colorado Rapids score 2.17 goals per game on average and Houston Dynamo 1.60. The MLS average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Colorado Rapids's matches and 60% of Houston Dynamo's.
What form are Colorado Rapids and Houston Dynamo in?
Over the last 5 games Colorado Rapids have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Houston Dynamo 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo?
The statistical background for Colorado Rapids vs Houston Dynamo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.