Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami: match statistics
Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colorado Rapids played Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Colorado Rapids: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Inter Miami: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colorado Rapids scores 2.71 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Inter Miami scores 1.86 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colorado Rapids 71%, Inter Miami 71%. Over 2.5: Colorado Rapids 71%, Inter Miami 86%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.47. Colorado Rapids: 12.7 shots per match, Inter Miami: 15.7.
Match halves
Colorado Rapids: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.71. Inter Miami: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Colorado Rapids: 46-60 (4 goals). Inter Miami: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Colorado Rapids have a clear offensive edge at home: an average of 4.0 goals per match (19 goals this season, 14 in the last 5), 17 shots and 7.67 on target per game, with a conversion rate of 24% and xG 1.91. Inter Miami on the road averages 1.8 goals per match (13 goals this season), generates 13.2 shots with 5.2 on target and a 14% conversion rate; their away xG is 1.44 and in 40% of away matches they fail to score. Defensively the hosts concede 1.0 goals at home on average (xG against 1.71), while Inter concedes 1.6 away (xG against 1.35), which suggests that Colorado, despite a higher xG against, better limits actual goals conceded. Form shows Colorado have won 3 of their last 5 matches (LWLWW) with 1.8 points per game in that period, whereas Inter have only 1 win and 4 draws in their last 5 (DDWDD) with 1.4 points per game. Considering superior finishing (24% vs 14%), more shots on target (7.67 vs 5.2) and 100% home wins, I tip the home side to win; I estimate 65% for a Colorado win, 20% for a draw and 15% for an Inter victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS (both teams to score) as the more likely outcome because Colorado has a season BTTS rate of 100% while Inter Miami is at 60%, and both teams show 80% BTTS in their last 5 matches. Over the season Colorado averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (19 for, 12 against), and Inter averages 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded (13 for, 12 against), indicating both sides regularly both score and concede. xG data shows season xG of 2.36 for Colorado versus 1.44 for Inter, with xG against 0.83 for Colorado and 1.35 for Inter; in the last 5 matches Inter has higher xG for 1.8 vs 1.3 and lower xG against 0.93 vs 1.45, suggesting recent form favors chance creation by Inter, but both teams generate opportunities. Additionally Colorado has no clean sheets this season (0%), while Inter has 20% clean sheets; season over 2.5 is 100% for Colorado and 80% for Inter, and the league averages 3.1 goals per match, which increases the likelihood of goal exchanges. Considering the home side’s 100% BTTS, 80% BTTS in the last 5 for both teams, and high goals and xG averages, I estimate BTTS probability at 88% vs 12%, so the best pick is 'yes' (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for Colorado (xG_for 2.36 vs Inter xG_against 1.35) and 1.14 for Inter (xG_for 1.44 vs Colorado xG_against 0.83), totaling approximately 3.00 goals. Seasonal stats strongly favor Over 2.5: Colorado at home has 100% of matches >2.5, Inter away 80%, and the league average is 3.1 goals per game. Colorado generates many chances — on average 22 shots and 7.5 on target per match — and in the last 5 games has scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) and conceded 9 (1.8), while Inter in their last 5 have 8 goals (1.6) and 7 conceded (1.4). Additionally, BTTS for the home side is 100% (Inter 60% away), so both teams regularly contribute to the scoreline; the strongest selection from the data is Over 2.5, Over 1.5 is virtually certain, and Over 3.5 is riskier since the expected 3.00 goals is below that threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
xG for Colorado is 2.36 versus 1.44 for Inter (difference 0.92), and average shots are 22.0 versus 13.2 with 7.5 on target versus 5.2, indicating a significant home advantage in chance creation. In the last 5 matches Colorado led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5) and averaged 1.2 goals by half-time versus 0.8 for Inter; Colorado won 60% of those matches, Inter 20%. Over the season Inter averages 2.0 points per game and has a 60% away win rate, but their lower xG_for of 1.44 and smaller shot volume suggest reduced ability to stage a turnaround when Colorado controls the match. Additionally, Colorado has xG against of 0.83 versus 1.35 for Inter, meaning the home side also defends better; both teams, however, frequently score — hosts 100% this season, visitors 60% — so I expect a match with goals from both sides. On that basis the strongest scenario is Colorado leading at the break and winning the match (1/1), which I estimate at roughly 41% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colorado Rapids | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colorado Rapids is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
2.71 goals / match - Colorado Rapids · 1.86 goals / match - Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Inter Miami scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Colorado Rapids keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colorado Rapids
Over / Under - Inter Miami
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colorado Rapids is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Colorado Rapids · 1 pts / match - Inter Miami
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colorado Rapids - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Colorado Rapids | Liga | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.43 | 3.14 | ▲ 3.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 63% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?
The MLS match finished Colorado Rapids 2:3 Inter Miami. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?
Colorado Rapids score 2.71 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 1.86. The MLS average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Colorado Rapids's matches and 71% of Inter Miami's.
What form are Colorado Rapids and Inter Miami in?
Over the last 5 games Colorado Rapids have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Inter Miami 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.