Colorado Springs vs Lexington: match statistics
Colorado Springs vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colorado Springs played Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Colorado Springs: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match. Lexington: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colorado Springs scores 1.75 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Lexington scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colorado Springs 75%, Lexington 25%. Over 2.5: Colorado Springs 75%, Lexington 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Colorado Springs has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.36. Colorado Springs: 14.3 shots per match, Lexington: 13.0.
Match halves
Colorado Springs: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50. Lexington: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Colorado Springs: 46-60 (2 goals). Lexington: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1): Colorado Springs average 3.0 goals per home match with an average xG of 2.38, attempt 21 shots per game with 8 on target and hold 63% possession, and have recorded a 100% home win rate. Lexington away average 0.0 goals per match, have a 100% share of games without scoring, attempt 12 shots (3 on target) with xG 1.41, indicating significant problems finishing chances on the road. In the last 5 matches overall the visitors scored 12 goals vs. 9 for the hosts, but both teams have a similar points average of 1.4 over the last five fixtures, so the advantage mainly stems from Colorado’s home stats. Defensively both teams concede on average 2.0 goals in their respective contexts; however, Colorado concedes a lower average xG against at home (0.94 vs. 1.33 for Lexington away) and displays far better shot conversion (14% conversion for the hosts vs. 0% for the visitors), which gives them a real edge and higher probability of victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal stats indicate Colorado Springs scores 1.33 goals and concedes 0.67 per match, recording a clean sheet in 67% of games; Lexington has 4 goals for and 4 against this season, averaging 2.0 conceded per match, and an away-season BTTS rate of 0%. However, in the last 5 matches hosts average 1.8 goals for and 1.4 against with xG 2.15, while visitors average 2.4 for and 0.8 against with xG 1.94, showing both teams have generated scoring opportunities in the short term. Shot data shows hosts average 13.33 shots and 4.0 on target per match with a 10% conversion, whereas visitors average 12.0 shots and 3.0 on target with 0% conversion, suggesting visitors struggle to finish chances. Given the strong defensive signal from the hosts (67% clean sheets and only 33% seasonal BTTS for Colorado Springs) and Lexington’s zero-season BTTS rate, the more likely scenario is BTTS - No; I assess probability at 70% for No and 30% for Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total goals figure of approximately 2.87: Colorado Springs 1.51 xG vs Lexington 1.36, providing a strong signal for the Over. In the last 5 matches Colorado Springs averaged 1.8 goals while Lexington averaged 2.4; their recent xG were 2.15 (home) and 1.94 (away), indicating active offense from both sides. Seasonal xG is 1.34 for the home team and 1.41 for the visitors, with xG conceded at 1.23 and 1.33 respectively, so seasonal profiles also point to an even but goal-prone matchup. Additionally the home side registered Over 1.5 in 67% of matches, and the visitors in 100% of matches, against a league average of 2.72 goals; on this basis I estimate a 78% probability of Over 1.5. Consequently I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest play (Over 2.5 ~55%, Over 3.5 ~32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Colorado Springs win at full-time (X/1). Colorado Springs were level at the break in 67% of home matches and have kept a clean sheet at half-time in 100% of home fixtures, suggesting first halves often finish 0-0 or with a minimal scoreline. In second halves the hosts average 1.67 goals and 1.33 points, while Lexington have yet to score this season (0.0 average) and concede 2.0 goals per match, with 0.0 points in second halves. Additionally, Colorado averages 4.0 shots on target versus the visitors' 3.0 and has a conversion rate of 10% compared to Lexington’s 0%, despite similar xG (1.34 vs 1.41), so I expect a draw at the break and a decisive home-goal turnaround after half-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colorado Springs | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colorado Springs is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Colorado Springs · 1 goals / match - Lexington
Lexington is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Colorado Springs · 1 goals / match - Lexington
Colorado Springs scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Lexington scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Colorado Springs keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colorado Springs
Over / Under - Lexington
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lexington is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Colorado Springs · 1.25 pts / match - Lexington
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colorado Springs - second-half results
Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 3.3 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colorado Springs
Lexington
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Colorado Springs | Liga | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.75 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 53% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 30% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Colorado Springs 1 - 0 - 1 Lexington. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colorado Springs vs Lexington?
The USL Championship match finished Colorado Springs 1:1 Lexington. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colorado Springs and Lexington?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colorado Springs won 1, Lexington won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colorado Springs vs Lexington?
Colorado Springs score 1.75 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.00. The USL Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Colorado Springs's matches and 25% of Lexington's.
What form are Colorado Springs and Lexington in?
Over the last 5 games Colorado Springs have a 1-1-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lexington 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colorado Springs vs Lexington?
The statistical background for Colorado Springs vs Lexington — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.