Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics
Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Columbus Crew played FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The match was played on 25 July 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Columbus Crew: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Columbus Crew scores 1.38 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. FC Cincinnati scores 2.50 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Columbus Crew 69%, FC Cincinnati 75%. Over 2.5: Columbus Crew 63%, FC Cincinnati 69%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.42. Columbus Crew: 11.5 shots per match, FC Cincinnati: 13.4.
Match halves
Columbus Crew: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.56. FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.38.
Goals by minute
Columbus Crew: 31-45+ (6 goals). FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Columbus holds a clear defensive edge at home: they concede 0.86 goals per match on average and record 43% clean sheets, whereas FC Cincinnati concede 2.88 goals on average away and have 0% clean sheets. The visitors’ attack is statistically potent — Cincinnati score 2.00 goals on average away with 5.5 shots on target and a 17% conversion rate, versus Columbus’s 1.29 goals, 4.29 shots on target and 11% conversion. The difference in chance quality is reflected in xG: Columbus has xG for 1.48 and xG against 1.05, while Cincinnati have xG for 1.43 and xG against 1.95, suggesting the hosts create better chances while the visitors concede more opportunities. Form is comparable (both teams averaging 1.6 points in the last 5 matches), but Columbus win 43% of home games versus Cincinnati’s 13% away win rate, which, combined with the hosts’ defensive advantage, favors Columbus. I back the home win, although given Cincinnati’s shooting efficiency and the high average total goals in their away matches (4.88), I also expect several goals in the game.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics strongly favor BTTS 'Yes': FC Cincinnati has a season BTTS rate of 88% and BTTS occurred in 100% of their last 5 matches, while Columbus has 57% for the season and 60% in the last 5. Both teams are active in terms of goals — seasonally Columbus scores 2.86 and concedes 2.0, and Cincinnati scores 2.0 and concedes 2.88; in the last 5 Cincinnati scored 17 goals (3.4 per match) and conceded 13 (2.6), whereas Columbus in the last 5 scored 7 (1.4) and conceded 5 (1.0). xG and shot data confirm chances will be created: Columbus has attacking xG 1.67 and xG against 1.74, Cincinnati has attacking xG 1.43 and xG against 1.95, and average shots on target are 5.86 (Columbus) versus 5.5 (Cincinnati). Cincinnati has not recorded a clean sheet this season (0%), Columbus has 29% clean sheets, and 0-0 occurrences are low (Columbus 14%, Cincinnati 13%), which reduces the probability of a goalless game. Considering Cincinnati's 88% BTTS, 100% BTTS in their last 5, and high goals averages and xG against for both teams, I assign BTTS 'Yes' 85% vs 'No' 15% and recommend the 'yes' selection as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Columbus averages 2.86 goals scored per match, while FC Cincinnati concedes 2.88 on average; with the home xG at 1.67 and the away xG conceded at 1.95 I calculate approximately 1.81 expected goals for Columbus. The visitors have xG 1.43 against the hosts' xG conceded 1.74, yielding about 1.59 expected goals for Cincinnati; in the last 5 matches Cincinnati scored 17 goals (3.4 avg), and Columbus 7 (1.4 avg), confirming both teams' offensive potential. The sum of expected goals is ~3.40 (1.81+1.59), above the league average of 3.3 and materially above the 2.5 threshold; season percentages of matches over 1.5 are 86% (Columbus) and 88% (Cincinnati). The strongest signal is Over 1.5 — high historical rates 86–88% and projected 1.81/1.59; Over 2.5 also looks solid (seasonal 57%/75% and combined xG -> estimated confidence ~70%). Over 3.5 is less certain: despite seasonal figures of 57% and 75% the expected total 3.40 is slightly below 3.5, so it is not the primary pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely: the home side were level at the break in 43% of matches and the visitors in 63%, with an average of 1.0 goals before the break for both teams. After the interval Columbus holds a clear advantage — they won 56% of second halves and collected 13 points in those periods, while the visitors have 8 points and an inferior second-half record. Additionally, goals in second halves occur very frequently: for the hosts in 86% of games and for the visitors in 100%, which favors turnarounds after the break. Columbus also possess a stronger offense by xG (1.67 vs 1.43) and average more shots (15.57 vs 11.88), increasing the likelihood of scoring the decisive post-break goal. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is a Half-Time draw followed by a home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Columbus Crew | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Cincinnati is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Columbus Crew · 1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Columbus Crew · 2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Columbus Crew · 2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
FC Cincinnati scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Columbus Crew keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Columbus Crew
Over / Under - FC Cincinnati
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Columbus Crew is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Columbus Crew · 1.25 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Columbus Crew - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Columbus Crew | Liga | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.94 | 3.29 | ▲ 5.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
The MLS match finished Columbus Crew 2:1 FC Cincinnati. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
Columbus Crew score 1.38 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.50. The MLS average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Columbus Crew's matches and 75% of FC Cincinnati's.
What form are Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati in?
Over the last 5 games Columbus Crew have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.