Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United: match statistics
Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Columbus Crew played Minnesota United in MLS (United States). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Columbus Crew: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Minnesota United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Columbus Crew scores 1.40 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Minnesota United scores 1.10 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Columbus Crew 70%, Minnesota United 40%. Over 2.5: Columbus Crew 60%, Minnesota United 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Columbus Crew has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.45. Columbus Crew: 12.2 shots per match, Minnesota United: 13.2.
Match halves
Columbus Crew: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.60. Minnesota United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Columbus Crew: 31-45+ (4 goals). Minnesota United: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Columbus Crew holds a clear advantage in form and efficiency — they have scored 12 goals and won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Minnesota have scored 5 goals and won 2 of their last 5. At home Columbus generates an average xG of 1.51 with xG against 0.86, whereas Minnesota on the road have xG 1.30 with xG against 1.77, indicating the hosts create better chances and defend more effectively. Defensively Columbus concedes only 0.6 goals per home game and records 40% clean sheets, while Minnesota concede 2.17 goals away and have 17% clean sheets, which is a significant difference. The hosts control the game (57% possession, 12.4 shots per match and 4.4 on target), although Minnesota have higher efficiency with a 12% conversion versus Columbus’s 8%, so with limited chances they can be dangerous. Considering average points in the last 5 matches (2.4 vs 1.4), I tip a Columbus win and assess probabilities as 60% for the hosts, 20% for a draw and 20% for Minnesota.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against BTTS is Columbus' defense – a season clean sheet rate of 75% and a season home BTTS rate of 0% indicate the hosts very rarely concede. Minnesota has a season BTTS of 67% and concedes on average 2.17 goals per match, but in their last 5 away matches the visitors had BTTS only 20% and scored on average 1.0 goal. Columbus in the last 5 matches scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and conceded 4 (0.8 avg), with their offensive xG at 1.67 versus xG against Minnesota of 1.77, showing good chance creation and still limited concessions. Considering the hosts' 75% clean sheets versus Minnesota's inconsistency (season 67% BTTS but only 20% in the last 5) and a moderate league BTTS rate of 57%, I recommend the 'No' scenario. I estimate the probability of BTTS 'No' at 65% versus 35% for 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and attack balance indicate 1.72 expected goals for Columbus and 1.34 for Minnesota (total 3.06), calculated as the average of their xG (Columbus 1.67, Minnesota 1.30) and xG against (Minnesota 1.77, Columbus 1.37). A Poisson with lambda=3.06 yields probability for over 1.5 goals ≈81%, over 2.5 ≈59% and over 3.5 ≈37%, signaling strongest evidence in favor of Over 2.5 goals. Supporting this forecast is Columbus’s form: 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 avg) and 80% of those fixtures exceeding 2.5 goals, while Minnesota have 83% of away games this season over 2.5. Although Columbus’s season-long home figures show 0% Over 2.5 and 75% clean sheets, their current recent xG of 1.88 and run of results (W L W W W) plus Minnesota’s superior finishing efficiency (12% vs 5% shot conversion) shift the balance toward goals. Therefore I recommend Over 2.5 goals as the best line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data analysis indicates a home lead at the break and a full-time win for the hosts. In the last 5 matches Columbus led at Half-Time in 5 of 5 (100%), scoring on average 1.4 goals by Half-Time and conceding only 0.2, while Minnesota averaged 0.4 goals by Half-Time and conceded 0.4 in their last 5. Columbus creates more chances: 1.67 xG and 16 shots per match on average versus Minnesota’s 1.30 xG and 11.33 shots, which—combined with Minnesota’s season-long susceptibility (2.17 goals conceded per match)—gives the hosts the edge. Although Minnesota has a better conversion rate (12% vs 5%), Columbus’s recent form (80% wins in 5 matches and an average of 2.4 goals per match in the last 5) suggests the most likely scenario is Columbus leading at Half-Time and winning at Full-Time — therefore I assign a 52% probability to 1/1. Alternatives are Half-Time draw and home win (X/1 18%) and draw/draw (X/X 10%); other scenarios are deemed unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Columbus Crew | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Minnesota United is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Columbus Crew · 2.4 pts / match - Minnesota United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Columbus Crew is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Columbus Crew · 1.1 goals / match - Minnesota United
Columbus Crew is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Columbus Crew · 1.4 goals / match - Minnesota United
Columbus Crew scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Minnesota United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Minnesota United scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Columbus Crew keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Columbus Crew
Over / Under - Minnesota United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Columbus Crew is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Columbus Crew · 1.3 pts / match - Minnesota United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Columbus Crew - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Minnesota United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Columbus Crew | Liga | Minnesota United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 59% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United?
The MLS match finished Columbus Crew 2:3 Minnesota United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United?
Columbus Crew score 1.40 goals per game on average and Minnesota United 1.10. The MLS average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Columbus Crew's matches and 40% of Minnesota United's.
What form are Columbus Crew and Minnesota United in?
Over the last 5 games Columbus Crew have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Minnesota United 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.