Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town United: match statistics
The match is shaping up to be an evenly matched clash between two teams of similar strength. Colwyn Bay presents solid home form with a 36% win rate and a +2 goal difference; however, their last five overall matches have yielded only 1.2 PPG. Barry Town United is in excellent shape, winning four of their last five fixtures and conceding just one goal in this period, which highlights their current defensive stability. The visitors have the edge in ball possession (51% vs 46%) and better overall form (2.4 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), but they lose offensive efficiency on the road (averaging 1.23 goals). The hosts score more goals at home (1.64 on average), yet their inconsistent form and high percentage of draws (36%) suggest difficulties in closing out games. Taking all factors into consideration, I expect a tightly contested match with a slight advantage for the visitors or a draw.
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colwyn Bay played Barry Town United in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Colwyn Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Barry Town United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colwyn Bay scores 1.30 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Barry Town United scores 1.37 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colwyn Bay 48%, Barry Town United 41%. Over 2.5: Colwyn Bay 44%, Barry Town United 41%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Colwyn Bay has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.41. Colwyn Bay: 11.8 shots per match, Barry Town United: 11.0.
Match halves
Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Barry Town United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (8 goals). Barry Town United: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is shaping up to be an evenly matched clash between two teams of similar strength. Colwyn Bay presents solid home form with a 36% win rate and a +2 goal difference; however, their last five overall matches have yielded only 1.2 PPG. Barry Town United is in excellent shape, winning four of their last five fixtures and conceding just one goal in this period, which highlights their current defensive stability. The visitors have the edge in ball possession (51% vs 46%) and better overall form (2.4 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), but they lose offensive efficiency on the road (averaging 1.23 goals). The hosts score more goals at home (1.64 on average), yet their inconsistent form and high percentage of draws (36%) suggest difficulties in closing out games. Taking all factors into consideration, I expect a tightly contested match with a slight advantage for the visitors or a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colwyn Bay | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barry Town United is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.8 pts / match - Barry Town United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barry Town United is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.37 goals / match - Barry Town United
Barry Town United is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 1 goals / match - Barry Town United
Colwyn Bay scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 44% (12 of 27 matches).
Barry Town United scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
Over / Under - Barry Town United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Colwyn Bay | Liga | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 76% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Colwyn Bay 1 - 1 - 1 Barry Town United. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town United?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Colwyn Bay 3:1 Barry Town United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Barry Town United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 1, Barry Town United won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town United?
Colwyn Bay score 1.30 goals per game on average and Barry Town United 1.37. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 41% of Barry Town United's.
What form are Colwyn Bay and Barry Town United in?
Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Barry Town United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.