Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueLlanelian RoadData current as of 24 September 2026

Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County: match statistics

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Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Colwyn Bay play Haverfordwest County in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Llanelian Road.

Current form

Colwyn Bay: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Haverfordwest County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Colwyn Bay scores 2.00 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Haverfordwest County scores 0.78 and concedes 1.56. League average: 3.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Colwyn Bay 40%, Haverfordwest County 33%. Over 2.5: Colwyn Bay 60%, Haverfordwest County 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Colwyn Bay has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.12. Colwyn Bay: 13.6 shots per match, Haverfordwest County: 9.7.

Match halves

Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80. Haverfordwest County: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (7 goals). Haverfordwest County: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.76)
(3.50)
(4.24)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
2Goals scored / match0.78
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.4Goals conceded / match1.56
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
47%Average possession43%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
4.6Shots on target / match2.67
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.6Shots per match9.67
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
4.6Shots on target2.67
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
14.7%Shot conversion8%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
47%Possession43%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.53xG for1.12
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.15xG against1.61
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Shooting quality

Colwyn Bay: Counter-attackingHaverfordwest County: Balanced
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
Accuracy (shots on target)34%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Colwyn Bay is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 2 pts / match - Haverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay
WLWWW
Season result split
60% W10% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-3
1.90 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Haverfordwest County
LWDWW
Season result split
33% W11% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-5
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Colwyn Bay is 156% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 0.78 goals / match - Haverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.56 goals / match - Haverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: very strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

Haverfordwest County scoring profile: mixed

Haverfordwest County scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

20Goals scored (season)7
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
14Goals conceded (season)14
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
3.4Average goals in match2.33
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
14Goals scored (last 5)7
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal44%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
60%2 goals22%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%3 goals11%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%4 goals0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal89%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
40%2 goals44%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%3 goals22%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
10%4 goals0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

33%
Haverfordwest County - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 9 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%Scored in both halves0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
40%BTTS - last 560%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time11%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Colwyn Bay is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 1 pts / match - Haverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing
Haverfordwest County - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.2Goals scored (1st half)0.11
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
2Average goals (1st half)0.44
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
50%Clean sheet before half-time78%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
40%No goal before half-time89%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per match (2nd half)0.89
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)1.22
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
70%Clean sheet after half-time11%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County
60%No goal after half-time67%
Colwyn BayHaverfordwest County

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
15
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Haverfordwest County - second-half results

22% W22% D56% L
9
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Colwyn Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match1.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.0
Average goals in match2.21.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Haverfordwest County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.22.2
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Haverfordwest County
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.87
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
86%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
37%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

Haverfordwest County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Colwyn BayLigaHaverfordwest County
Average goals in match 3.403.34 2.33
Both teams scored 40%52% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%61% 44%
Clean sheets 40%25% 11%
Goal before half-time 100%80% 33%
Goal after half-time 60%85% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Colwyn Bay 1 - 0 - 1 Haverfordwest County. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Haverfordwest County AFC
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay FC
Colwyn Bay FC
3 : 0
Haverfordwest County AFC

FAQ

When do Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County play?

Colwyn Bay face Haverfordwest County on 26 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Llanelian Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 1, Haverfordwest County won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County?

Colwyn Bay score 2.00 goals per game on average and Haverfordwest County 0.78. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 33% of Haverfordwest County's.

What form are Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest County in?

Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Haverfordwest County 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.