Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético: match statistics
Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Comerciantes Unidos played Alianza Atlético in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Comerciantes Unidos: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Alianza Atlético: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Comerciantes Unidos scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Alianza Atlético scores 0.90 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Comerciantes Unidos 80%, Alianza Atlético 40%. Over 2.5: Comerciantes Unidos 60%, Alianza Atlético 30%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Alianza Atlético has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.21. Comerciantes Unidos: 11.7 shots per match, Alianza Atlético: 12.5.
Match halves
Comerciantes Unidos: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.90. Alianza Atlético: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Comerciantes Unidos: 16-30 (3 goals). Alianza Atlético: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Comerciantes Unidos are the match favourites: at home they average 1.2 goals scored and concede 0.8, while Alianza Atlético score only 0.75 and concede 1.5 on the road. Despite similar xG (Comerciantes 1.27 vs Alianza 1.33), the hosts are more clinical — their conversion rate is 10% compared to 6% for the visitors, and the hosts keep clean sheets in 40% of matches versus 0% for the away side. In the last 5 fixtures Comerciantes have scored 8 goals and average 1.2 points per game, whereas Alianza have 5 goals and 0.6 points per game. Additionally the visitors have yet to win away (win rate 0% with 50% losses), which together with the hosts’ superior efficiency and defence argues in favour of a Comerciantes victory, although a draw remains possible given the similar number of shots attempted (12.2 vs 12.5).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes comes from form: in the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 80%, with Comerciantes averaging 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded in those matches, while Alianza averages 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded. Seasonal xG confirms both sides create chances — attacking xG is 1.37 (Comerciantes) and 1.33 (Alianza), giving a combined value of about 2.70 xG and a similar scoring potential. Additionally, Alianza has a season BTTS rate of 75%, and average shots on target of 4.67 versus 4.75, which together with Alianza conceding 1.5 goals on average this season increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. The counterargument is that the home side has only 17% season BTTS and 67% clean sheets, which historically favors No Goal, but this tendency weakens when looking at the last 5 matches. Considering the newer signals (last 5: 80%), combined xG ≈2.7 and league BTTS level of 56%, I assign 65% to Yes and 35% to No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based forecast: the home side has an attacking xG of 1.37, the away side 1.33, with xG against 1.18 (home) and 1.40 (away), yielding averaged expected goals of 1.38 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.26 for Alianza Atlético, a total of 2.64 goals. The hosts register on average 4.67 shots on target, the visitors 4.75, with conversion rates of 8% for the home team and 6% for the away team, which increases the chance of finishing created opportunities. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 1.6 and conceded 1.6 on average, the guests scored 1.0 and conceded 1.4, and both teams have an 80% BTTS rate in this period, indicating frequent goal exchanges. Seasonal data is mixed: Comerciantes have 67% clean sheets and only 17% BTTS, while Alianza have 0% clean sheets and 75% BTTS, so although the home side defends well over the season, current form and xG elevate the expected goal count. As a result the safest selection is Over 1.5 (high probability ~82%), while Over 2.5 has moderate support (~60%) given the projected 2.64 goals and the league average of 2.73.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X). The home side were level at the break in 67% of matches and the visitors in 50%, with the average first-half goals only 0.17 for hosts and 0.25 for guests, which favors a deadlock at 45 minutes. After the interval the hosts, however, enjoy the edge: they score on average 1.17 goals, have accumulated 11 points in second halves (an average of 1.83 points per post-break match), while the visitors average 1.0 goals and 1.25 points after the break. xG is 1.37 versus 1.33 in chance creation and 1.18 versus 1.40 in defense in favour of the home team. Season-long figures confirm a moderate advantage for the home side (hosts 1.0 scored/0.5 conceded, guests 0.75 scored/1.5 conceded) and the fact that the away team has 0% wins this season, so an away victory is unlikely. Therefore I assigned the greatest weight to X/X (43%), then X/1 (20%) and 1/1 (12%); the combined probability of away wins (1/2, X/2, 2/2) is only 6%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Comerciantes Unidos | Alianza Atlético | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Comerciantes Unidos is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Comerciantes Unidos · 1 pts / match - Alianza Atlético
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Comerciantes Unidos is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Comerciantes Unidos · 0.9 goals / match - Alianza Atlético
Alianza Atlético is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Comerciantes Unidos · 0.9 goals / match - Alianza Atlético
Comerciantes Unidos scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Alianza Atlético keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Alianza Atlético scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Comerciantes Unidos keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Comerciantes Unidos
Over / Under - Alianza Atlético
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Comerciantes Unidos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alianza Atlético - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atlético
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Comerciantes Unidos | Liga | Alianza Atlético | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.73 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 57% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Alianza AtléticoSubstitutionOn: Erick Anthony Perleche CruzadoOff: Anthony Manuel Alberto Gordillo Vásquez
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Comerciantes Unidos 1 - 0 - 1 Alianza Atlético. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético?
The Primera División match finished Comerciantes Unidos 1:0 Alianza Atlético. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Comerciantes Unidos and Alianza Atlético?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Comerciantes Unidos won 1, Alianza Atlético won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.50 goals per game on average and Alianza Atlético 0.90. The Primera División average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Comerciantes Unidos's matches and 40% of Alianza Atlético's.
What form are Comerciantes Unidos and Alianza Atlético in?
Over the last 5 games Comerciantes Unidos have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Alianza Atlético 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Comerciantes Unidos vs Alianza Atlético?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.