Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar: match statistics
Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Comerciantes Unidos played Melgar in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Comerciantes Unidos: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Melgar: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Comerciantes Unidos scores 1.31 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Melgar scores 1.54 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Comerciantes Unidos 62%, Melgar 62%. Over 2.5: Comerciantes Unidos 46%, Melgar 62%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Melgar has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.18. Comerciantes Unidos: 11.2 shots per match, Melgar: 12.8.
Match halves
Comerciantes Unidos: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77. Melgar: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Comerciantes Unidos: 46-60 (4 goals). Melgar: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Comerciantes Unidos has a clear defensive edge at home — conceding only 0.57 goals per game on average and keeping a clean sheet in 57% of home matches, while Melgar concedes 1.67 goals away and has registered no clean sheets. Offensively Melgar is more productive (20 goals in the season and 8 in the last 5 matches) versus the hosts’ 17 season goals and 5 in the last 5, yet xG indicates a similar level: 1.28 xG for the home side at home vs 1.20 xG for the visitors away. In the last 5 fixtures Comerciantes has averaged 1.6 points per game (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while Melgar averages 1.8 points per game (3 wins, 2 losses), giving a marginal form advantage to the visitors. The hosts average 12 shots and 3.43 on target per match with a 10% conversion rate; the visitors average 11.33 shots and 3.5 on target with a 12% conversion, so the visitors’ efficiency advantage is minimal. Considering 57% home win rate for the hosts versus 33% away win rate for Melgar and the significant gap in average goals conceded (0.57 vs 1.67), I favor a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor the "both teams to score" scenario primarily due to Melgar's high BTTS rate: 83% this season versus Comerciantes' 43%, a 40 percentage point gap. xG models corroborate this technically — home xG 1.44 and xG against Melgar 1.73 yield an expected ~1.59 goals for Comerciantes, while the combination of Melgar xG 1.20 and xG against hosts 1.20 suggests ~1.20 goals for the away side. In the last 5 matches Melgar averaged 1.6 goals scored (8 in 5) and conceded 1.2, whereas Comerciantes averaged 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, indicating the visitors regularly find the net while the hosts also have goal-scoring potential. The counterargument is that 57% of Comerciantes' home games have finished with a clean sheet, while Melgar has 0% clean sheets away, so I remain moderately cautious. Considering all figures, I assess BTTS probability at 70% vs 30% and back "yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goals-per-game analysis points to a moderately high-scoring match: home side have xG_for 1.44 and average 1.71 goals scored per match, visitors xG_for 1.20 and average 1.33; combining 1.44 (home xG_for) with 1.73 (away xG_against) I estimate an expected 1.59 goals for Comerciantes, and for Melgar (1.20+1.20)/2 = 1.20, total 2.79. Seasonal percentages strongly support Over 1.5 — Comerciantes have Over 1.5 in 86% of matches, Melgar in 83%, therefore I rate Over 1.5 at 88%. For the 2.5 line, the home side record Over 2.5 in 57% of cases, the visitors in 67%, and a Poisson model for mean 2.79 gives roughly 53% for 3+ goals; after adjusting for form (last 5: Melgar 1.6 goals, Comerciantes 1.0) I assign 56% for Over 2.5. For 3.5, seasonal values 29% (home) and 50% (away) and Poisson (~31% for 4+ goals) suggest Under 3.5 is safer (69%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (home team leads at the break and wins) because Comerciantes Unidos led at half-time in 4 of their home matches (57%) and average 1.0 goals before the break with 0.43 conceded. The home side posts a higher xG (1.44 vs 1.20 for Melgar), average 14 shots per game versus the visitors’ 11.33, and score 1.71 goals per match compared to Melgar’s 1.33, confirming an attacking edge. Conversely, Melgar concedes 1.67 goals per match on average and has 0% clean sheets this season (0.0%); in second halves they record 100% of matches with at least 0.5 goals conceded and average 1.33 goals conceded in the second half, indicating vulnerability after the break. Given the 57% rate of home leads at half-time, the higher xG (1.44 vs 1.20) and Melgar’s tendency to concede after the break, the 1/1 scenario is the strongest; alternatives (e.g. X/1 or X/X) are possible but less supported by the numbers.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Comerciantes Unidos | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Melgar is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Comerciantes Unidos · 1.8 pts / match - Melgar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Comerciantes Unidos · 1.54 goals / match - Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Melgar scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Comerciantes Unidos keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Comerciantes Unidos
Over / Under - Melgar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Comerciantes Unidos · 1.77 pts / match - Melgar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Comerciantes Unidos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Comerciantes Unidos
Melgar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Comerciantes Unidos | Liga | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.54 | 2.74 | • 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 24% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Comerciantes Unidos 0 - 2 - 0 Melgar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar?
The Primera División match finished Comerciantes Unidos 1:1 Melgar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Comerciantes Unidos and Melgar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Comerciantes Unidos won 0, Melgar won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.31 goals per game on average and Melgar 1.54. The Primera División average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Comerciantes Unidos's matches and 62% of Melgar's.
What form are Comerciantes Unidos and Melgar in?
Over the last 5 games Comerciantes Unidos have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Melgar 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.