Comerciantes Unidos vs Real Garcilaso: match statistics
Comerciantes Unidos vs Real Garcilaso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Comerciantes Unidos played Real Garcilaso in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 7 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Comerciantes Unidos: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Real Garcilaso: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Comerciantes Unidos scores 1.20 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Real Garcilaso scores 1.50 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Comerciantes Unidos 60%, Real Garcilaso 65%. Over 2.5: Comerciantes Unidos 45%, Real Garcilaso 60%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Comerciantes Unidos has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.36. Comerciantes Unidos: 13.6 shots per match, Real Garcilaso: 12.4.
Match halves
Comerciantes Unidos: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.65. Real Garcilaso: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Comerciantes Unidos: 31-45+ (6 goals). Real Garcilaso: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Comerciantes Unidos have significantly stronger home numbers: they lose just 10% of their matches, average 1.1 goals scored and concede only 0.7 goals per game. Real Garcilaso also average 1.1 goals away from home, but concede as many as 2.0 goals, have lost 60% of such matches and have kept no clean sheets. The hosts also create higher-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.51 compared to the visitors’ 1.09, although their recent form is poor: they are winless in five matches and have scored just 6 goals. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in that run; however, their weak away defensive record and -9 goal difference on the road support the hosts. Comerciantes Unidos’ high 50% home draw rate leaves a significant risk of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is strengthened by high BTTS rates: 70% for Comerciantes Unidos and 60% for Real Garcilaso, while over the last five matches these figures stood at 60% and 80%, respectively. The hosts score an average of 1.9 goals per match, whereas the visitors concede as many as 2.0 goals away from home and have kept no clean sheets. Real Garcilaso do have 40% of matches without scoring, but their current attacking form looks better: over the last five matches, they averaged 2.2 goals compared with 1.2 for the hosts. Both teams’ defences have recently conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match, while the xG against Real Garcilaso stands at 1.94, clearly favouring a goal for the hosts. The biggest risk to BTTS - Yes is Comerciantes Unidos’ stronger defensive record over the season, conceding just 0.8 goals per match, but current form and the visitors’ defensive weaknesses shift the prediction towards a BTTS - Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Comerciantes Unidos score an average of 1.9 goals at home and register 15.5 shots per match, while Real Garcilaso concede as many as 2.0 goals away from home. The hosts have an average xG of 1.64, while the visitors’ defence allows opponents 1.87 xG, clearly supporting a scenario with at least two goals. In their last five matches, Real Garcilaso scored an average of 2.2 goals, while both teams also conceded 1.6 goals per match during this period. The 1.5 line was surpassed in 70% of matches for each team, while Over 2.5 landed in 100% of the visitors’ last five games. Over 1.5 therefore carries the highest probability, as even with lower finishing efficiency from one side, the chance-creation and chance-concession profiles point towards a minimum of two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Comerciantes Unidos victory at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 70% of their matches, compared with 50% for Real Garcilaso. After the interval, the hosts have a clear advantage: they score an average of 1.3 goals, while the visitors score just 0.3, and the Cusco-based side concede an average of 1.0 goal in this period. Across the season, Comerciantes Unidos win 70% of their matches and average 2.3 points per game, compared with Real Garcilaso’s 30% win rate and 1.0 point per match. In addition, the hosts create more chances, with an xG of 1.64 compared with the visitors’ 1.09, and register an average of 5.5 shots on target versus 3.7 for the away side. Recent form favours Real Garcilaso, who led at the break in 60% of their last five matches, so scenarios involving a visiting-team lead retain a significant share. However, second-half performance and home advantage point towards a turnaround in favour of the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Comerciantes Unidos | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Garcilaso is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Comerciantes Unidos · 2.4 pts / match - Real Garcilaso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Garcilaso is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Comerciantes Unidos · 1.5 goals / match - Real Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Real Garcilaso scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Comerciantes Unidos keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Comerciantes Unidos
Over / Under - Real Garcilaso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Garcilaso is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Comerciantes Unidos · 1.5 pts / match - Real Garcilaso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Comerciantes Unidos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Real Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Comerciantes Unidos
Real Garcilaso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Comerciantes Unidos | Liga | Real Garcilaso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.55 | 2.64 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 64% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Comerciantes Unidos 0 - 1 - 2 Real Garcilaso. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Comerciantes Unidos vs Real Garcilaso?
The Primera División match finished Comerciantes Unidos 3:1 Real Garcilaso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Comerciantes Unidos and Real Garcilaso?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Comerciantes Unidos won 0, Real Garcilaso won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Comerciantes Unidos vs Real Garcilaso?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.20 goals per game on average and Real Garcilaso 1.50. The Primera División average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Comerciantes Unidos's matches and 65% of Real Garcilaso's.
What form are Comerciantes Unidos and Real Garcilaso in?
Over the last 5 games Comerciantes Unidos have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Real Garcilaso 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Comerciantes Unidos vs Real Garcilaso?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Comerciantes Unidos vs Real Garcilaso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.