Como vs Parma: match statistics
Como vs Parma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Como play Parma in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Como: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Parma: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Como scores 1.71 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Parma scores 0.74 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Como 42%, Parma 39%. Over 2.5: Como 45%, Parma 29%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Como has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.14. Como: 14.4 shots per match, Parma: 10.7.
Match halves
Como: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.00. Parma: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Como: 76-90+ (15 goals). Parma: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back Como to win (1). The hosts average 1.89 goals per home game with xG 1.83, producing 16.39 shots of which 6.28 are on target, while Parma score only 0.67 goals away with xG 1.03 and 9.39 shots, just 2.56 on target. Como concedes 0.83 goals at home on average (xG against 0.86), keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches and have a positive goal difference of +19, whereas Parma concede 1.11 goals on the road (xG against 1.64) and carry a negative GD of -8. Additionally, Parma fail to score in 44% of away matches, while Como fail to score in only 17% of home games; although both teams have 1.4 points from their last 5 matches, the numbers show a clear home advantage in chance creation and xG quality. Based on these specific differentials (1.89 vs 0.67 goals, 6.28 vs 2.56 shots on target, 64% vs 43% possession) I estimate Como’s win probability at ~65%, a draw at 20% and a Parma win at 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Como | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Como is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Como · 1.2 pts / match - Parma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Como is 131% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Como · 0.74 goals / match - Parma
Como is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Como · 1.21 goals / match - Parma
Como scores in 76% of matches (29 of 38 matches), while Parma keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Parma scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Como keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Como
Over / Under — Parma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Como is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Como · 1 pts / match - Parma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Como - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Parma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Como
Parma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Como | Liga | Parma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.47 | 2.43 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 45% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Como 0 - 1 - 0 Parma. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Como vs Parma?
The Serie A match finished Como 1:0 Parma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Como vs Parma?
Como score 1.71 goals per game on average and Parma 0.74. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Como's matches and 39% of Parma's.
What form are Como and Parma in?
Over the last 5 games Como have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Parma 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Como vs Parma?
The statistical background for Como vs Parma — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.