Concarneau vs Aubagne: match statistics
The match promises to be a balanced clash between two teams with a similar goal record on their own pitches. Concarneau has shown poor form in the last five matches with just 0.6 points per match and no victories, raising concerns about their disposition. On the other hand, Aubagne is in better form with 1.6 points per match in the last five encounters and an impressive 56% win rate on away grounds. However, Concarneau's high effectiveness at home (38% wins and 38% draws) and the fact that both teams have an identical goal difference (+4) on their respective grounds suggest a balanced rivalry. Given the hosts' weaker recent form and Aubagne's solid performances on the road, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for a draw or a victory for the visitors.
Concarneau vs Aubagne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Concarneau played Aubagne in National (France). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Concarneau: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Aubagne: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Concarneau scores 1.06 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Aubagne scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Concarneau 35%, Aubagne 71%. Over 2.5: Concarneau 41%, Aubagne 47%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Aubagne has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.23. Concarneau: 10.3 shots per match, Aubagne: 9.7.
Match halves
Concarneau: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.53. Aubagne: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Concarneau: 61-75 (6 goals). Aubagne: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be a balanced clash between two teams with a similar goal record on their own pitches. Concarneau has shown poor form in the last five matches with just 0.6 points per match and no victories, raising concerns about their disposition. On the other hand, Aubagne is in better form with 1.6 points per match in the last five encounters and an impressive 56% win rate on away grounds. However, Concarneau's high effectiveness at home (38% wins and 38% draws) and the fact that both teams have an identical goal difference (+4) on their respective grounds suggest a balanced rivalry. Given the hosts' weaker recent form and Aubagne's solid performances on the road, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for a draw or a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Concarneau | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aubagne is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Concarneau · 1.6 pts / match - Aubagne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aubagne is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Concarneau · 1.47 goals / match - Aubagne
Concarneau is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Concarneau · 1.29 goals / match - Aubagne
Concarneau scores in 53% of matches (9 of 17 matches), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
Aubagne scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Concarneau
Over / Under - Aubagne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concarneau is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Concarneau · 1 pts / match - Aubagne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aubagne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Concarneau
Aubagne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Concarneau | Liga | Aubagne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.12 | 2.29 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 50% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 46% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 32% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Concarneau 0 - 1 - 0 Aubagne. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Concarneau vs Aubagne?
The National match finished Concarneau 1:0 Aubagne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concarneau vs Aubagne?
Concarneau score 1.06 goals per game on average and Aubagne 1.47. The National average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Concarneau's matches and 71% of Aubagne's.
What form are Concarneau and Aubagne in?
Over the last 5 games Concarneau have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Aubagne 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concarneau vs Aubagne?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.