Concarneau vs Bastia: match statistics
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Concarneau vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Concarneau play Bastia in National (France). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stade Guy Piriou.
Current form
Concarneau: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Bastia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Concarneau scores 1.33 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Bastia scores 0.78 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Concarneau 56%, Bastia 33%. Over 2.5: Concarneau 33%, Bastia 22%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Concarneau has higher xG: 1.23 vs 0.86. Concarneau: 10.2 shots per match, Bastia: 7.7.
Match halves
Concarneau: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. Bastia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Concarneau: 76-90+ (4 goals). Bastia: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Concarneau | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Concarneau is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Concarneau · 1 pts / match - Bastia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Concarneau is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Concarneau · 0.78 goals / match - Bastia
Concarneau is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Concarneau · 1.22 goals / match - Bastia
Concarneau scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Bastia scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Concarneau
Over / Under - Bastia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concarneau is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Concarneau · 1.22 pts / match - Bastia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Concarneau
Bastia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Concarneau | Liga | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.38 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 44% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 33% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 73% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 72% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Concarneau and Bastia play?
Concarneau face Bastia on 17 October 2026 in National at Stade Guy Piriou. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concarneau vs Bastia?
Concarneau score 1.33 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.78. The National average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Concarneau's matches and 33% of Bastia's.
What form are Concarneau and Bastia in?
Over the last 5 games Concarneau have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bastia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concarneau vs Bastia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Concarneau vs Bastia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.