Concarneau vs Bourg-en-Bresse: match statistics
Concarneau presents significantly better home form with 43% wins and only 14% losses at their own stadium, whereas Bourg-en-Bresse holds a poor away record with 56% losses and only 22% wins. In their last five home matches, the hosts maintain stability with a wlwdwdd streak, while the visitors record poor form in away matches with ddllwllwl. Offensive statistics also favor the hosts—averaging 1.71 goals per match at home with an xG of 1.52, compared to just 0.89 goals for the visitors away with an xG of 1.15. Additionally, Concarneau maintains better shot efficiency (12% vs 9%) and keeps clean sheets more often (43% vs 11%). The difference in goal difference is also clear: +5 for the hosts in home matches against -4 for the visitors on the road. Taking all these factors into account, a victory for Concarneau is the most likely result of this meeting.
Concarneau vs Bourg-en-Bresse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Concarneau played Bourg-en-Bresse in National (France). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Concarneau: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Bourg-en-Bresse: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Concarneau scores 1.13 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Bourg-en-Bresse scores 0.76 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Concarneau 38%, Bourg-en-Bresse 53%. Over 2.5: Concarneau 44%, Bourg-en-Bresse 47%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Concarneau has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.05. Concarneau: 10.1 shots per match, Bourg-en-Bresse: 8.8.
Match halves
Concarneau: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56. Bourg-en-Bresse: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Concarneau: 61-75 (6 goals). Bourg-en-Bresse: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Concarneau presents significantly better home form with 43% wins and only 14% losses at their own stadium, whereas Bourg-en-Bresse holds a poor away record with 56% losses and only 22% wins. In their last five home matches, the hosts maintain stability with a wlwdwdd streak, while the visitors record poor form in away matches with ddllwllwl. Offensive statistics also favor the hosts—averaging 1.71 goals per match at home with an xG of 1.52, compared to just 0.89 goals for the visitors away with an xG of 1.15. Additionally, Concarneau maintains better shot efficiency (12% vs 9%) and keeps clean sheets more often (43% vs 11%). The difference in goal difference is also clear: +5 for the hosts in home matches against -4 for the visitors on the road. Taking all these factors into account, a victory for Concarneau is the most likely result of this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Concarneau | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Concarneau is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Concarneau · 0.8 pts / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Concarneau is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Concarneau · 0.76 goals / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Concarneau is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Concarneau · 1.53 goals / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Concarneau scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Bourg-en-Bresse keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
Bourg-en-Bresse scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Concarneau
Over / Under - Bourg-en-Bresse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concarneau is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Concarneau · 0.65 pts / match - Bourg-en-Bresse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bourg-en-Bresse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Concarneau
Bourg-en-Bresse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Concarneau | Liga | Bourg-en-Bresse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.33 | • 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 47% | • 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 31% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Concarneau 1 - 0 - 0 Bourg-en-Bresse. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Concarneau vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
The National match finished Concarneau 0:1 Bourg-en-Bresse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concarneau vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
Concarneau score 1.13 goals per game on average and Bourg-en-Bresse 0.76. The National average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Concarneau's matches and 53% of Bourg-en-Bresse's.
What form are Concarneau and Bourg-en-Bresse in?
Over the last 5 games Concarneau have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Bourg-en-Bresse 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concarneau vs Bourg-en-Bresse?
The statistical background for Concarneau vs Bourg-en-Bresse — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


