Concarneau vs Le Puy F.43 Auvergne: match statistics
Concarneau vs Le Puy F.43 Auvergne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Concarneau played Le Puy F.43 Auvergne in National (France). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Concarneau: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Le Puy F.43 Auvergne: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Concarneau scores 1.08 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Le Puy F.43 Auvergne scores 1.44 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Concarneau 40%, Le Puy F.43 Auvergne 56%. Over 2.5: Concarneau 44%, Le Puy F.43 Auvergne 44%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.26. Concarneau: 10.4 shots per match, Le Puy F.43 Auvergne: 11.1.
Match halves
Concarneau: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56. Le Puy F.43 Auvergne: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Concarneau: 16-30 (6 goals). Le Puy F.43 Auvergne: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2): Le Puy sit 6th in the table with 11 wins this season versus Concarneau's 7. In the last 5 matches the visitors average 2.2 points per game with a 3-2-0 record, while the hosts are 1-1-3 and 0.8 points per game. Both teams scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, but Le Puy conceded only 4 compared to Concarneau's 8, indicating greater defensive stability for the visitors. Concarneau create more chances at home (13.67 shots and 4.92 on target per match) than Le Puy do away (9.67 shots and 4.0 on target), however Le Puy’s efficiency is substantially higher: 16% conversion versus the hosts' 9%. xG shows the hosts generate more expected goals at home (1.49) than the visitors away (1.23), but Le Puy converts chances more effectively and has a higher average goals return on the road (1.5 vs 1.25). Considering the better season record (36-26 vs 27-30), significantly superior form and efficiency, I assign a 55% probability to a Le Puy win, 25% to a draw and 20% to a Concarneau victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal stats and recent form point toward BTTS: Concarneau has a seasonal BTTS rate of 62%, Le Puy 50%, and the league records 54% of matches with both teams scoring; in the last 5 meetings both sides show 60% BTTS. Concarneau failed to score in 15% of matches, Le Puy in 25%, giving an approximate independent probability of both teams scoring of 0.85×0.75=63.8% (≈64%). Pitch data corroborate the goal risk: xG is 1.42 for Concarneau versus 1.23 for Le Puy, while xG against Le Puy is 1.55, indicating Le Puy either creates or concedes a high number of chances. Both teams register similar shots on target (4.08 vs 4.0) and have low clean sheet percentages (23% and 25%); over the last 5 matches they averaged 1.4 goals scored, with average goals conceded of 1.6 (Concarneau) and 0.8 (Le Puy). Based on this I assign a 64% probability to the "both teams to score" scenario and 36% to the opposite, therefore I recommend the bet: BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate Concarneau to score around 1.49 goals (home xG 1.42 and xG conceded vs Le Puy 1.55 → (1.42+1.55)/2 ≈ 1.49), and Le Puy around 1.11 goals (away xG 1.23 and xG conceded vs Concarneau 0.99 → (1.23+0.99)/2 ≈ 1.11), giving a total of approximately 2.60 goals. Seasonal percentages show Over 1.5 occurred in 85% of Concarneau’s matches and 83% of Le Puy’s matches, so I see a clear probability on that line (≈88% for Over 1.5). The 2.5 line is more balanced: seasonal Over 2.5 is 46% (Concarneau) and 42% (Le Puy), and the league averages 2.38 goals per match, but the estimated combined xG of 2.60 gives a slight edge to Over 2.5 (≈56%). Additionally, Concarneau averages 12.38 shots with 4.08 on target, and Le Puy 9.67 with 4.00 on target; with the visitors having a higher conversion rate (16% vs 11%) this can push chances toward more goals, though not up to the 3.5 threshold. For these reasons I recommend Over 1.5 as the best bet, while the 3.5 line is firmly in favor of Under (seasonal Over 3.5 only 8%/17%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Le Puy favored to be leading at the break: they led at half-time in 50% of their matches, whereas Concarneau led only in 15%, and the average goals at half-time are 1.08 for the visitors versus 0.31 for the hosts. At the same time Concarneau are very strong after the break — their matches average 1.46 second-half goals, they score on average 1.08 goals after half-time themselves and have goals after the break in 85% of their season games, with that rate at 100% in the last five matches. Le Puy show better form and efficiency: 60% wins in the last five matches and 1.4 goals at half-time across those five games, while the visitors’ season win percentage is 50% versus 38% for the hosts. The xG comparison (Concarneau 1.42 vs Le Puy 1.23) and shot conversion (visitors 16% vs hosts 11%) suggest the hosts create more chances but the visitors convert them more often and open the scoring. Therefore the strongest signal is the 2/2 scenario (Le Puy leads HT and wins FT) — I assign it a 22% probability, with draw scenarios (X/X 18%) and late home comebacks (2/1 8%) also taken into account.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Concarneau | Le Puy F.43 Auvergne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Concarneau · 2.2 pts / match - Le Puy F.43 Auvergne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Concarneau · 1.44 goals / match - Le Puy F.43 Auvergne
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Concarneau · 1.04 goals / match - Le Puy F.43 Auvergne
Concarneau scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Le Puy F.43 Auvergne keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Concarneau
Over / Under - Le Puy F.43 Auvergne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Concarneau · 1.4 pts / match - Le Puy F.43 Auvergne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Concarneau
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Concarneau | Liga | Le Puy F.43 Auvergne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.39 | • 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Concarneau 0 - 1 - 0 Le Puy F.43 Auvergne. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Concarneau vs Le Puy F.43 Auvergne?
The National match finished Concarneau 0:3 Le Puy F.43 Auvergne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concarneau vs Le Puy F.43 Auvergne?
Concarneau score 1.08 goals per game on average and Le Puy F.43 Auvergne 1.44. The National average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Concarneau's matches and 56% of Le Puy F.43 Auvergne's.
What form are Concarneau and Le Puy F.43 Auvergne in?
Over the last 5 games Concarneau have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Le Puy F.43 Auvergne 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concarneau vs Le Puy F.43 Auvergne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Concarneau vs Le Puy F.43 Auvergne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.