Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos: match statistics
Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Concarneau played Thionville Lusitanos in National (France). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Stade Guy Piriou. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Concarneau: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match. Thionville Lusitanos: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Concarneau scores 0.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Thionville Lusitanos scores 2.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Concarneau 25%, Thionville Lusitanos 50%. Over 2.5: Concarneau 0%, Thionville Lusitanos 50%. League level: BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Thionville Lusitanos has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.32. Concarneau: 12.3 shots per match, Thionville Lusitanos: 10.8.
Match halves
Concarneau: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Thionville Lusitanos: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Concarneau: 46-60 (2 goals). Thionville Lusitanos: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 32%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Thionville Lusitanos are unbeaten in the league after 4 matches, with a record of 3 wins and 1 draw, and have collected 11 points in their last five fixtures compared with Concarneau’s 8. The visitors are significantly more clinical: they have scored 10 goals this season and 12 in their last five matches, while the hosts have managed 3 and 4 goals respectively. Thionville have won every away game so far, averaging 2.5 goals per match, conceding none and keeping two clean sheets in two outings. Concarneau average just one goal per home match, have failed to score in 50% of their home fixtures, and their shot conversion rate is only 8%, compared with 22% for their opponents. The hosts create decent chances, as reflected by an xG of 1.38, but the visitors’ higher xG of 1.49 and their 6 shots on target per away match support a Thionville victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No pick is primarily supported by Concarneau’s current form: in their last five matches, the team averaged just 0.8 goals, while both teams scored in only 20% of those fixtures. The hosts have also been significantly more solid without the ball, conceding 0.6 goals per match during this period, with opponents averaging just 0.59 xG. Thionville Lusitanos possess attacking potential, averaging 2.4 goals and 1.51 xG across their last five appearances, so their goal remains a realistic possibility. However, the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far this season, while the league BTTS rate stands at only 31%, strengthening the scenario in which at least one team fails to score. The most likely outcome is defensive control from Thionville and no goal for the hosts, which is why the value lies with BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Concarneau have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over their last five matches, with none of those games going over 2.5 goals. Thionville are in better offensive form, averaging 2.4 goals scored in their last five outings, but their average xG of 1.51 faces a very solid home defence in recent weeks. The hosts generate an average of 1.26 xG, while opponents are allowed just 0.89 xG on average, limiting their projected scoring output to around 1.05 goals. The total projection of 2.30 goals remains close to the league average of 2.22, where only 31% of matches finish with at least three goals. The strongest signal therefore points to Under 3.5 goals, as even with the visitors' attacking advantage, four goals would require a result clearly above the expectations for both defences.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Thionville Lusitanos have won both of their matches so far, while Concarneau average 2 points per game and have drawn as many as 50% of their fixtures. The visitors start strongly: they led at the break in both of their matches, scoring an average of 1.5 goals before half-time and conceding none. Over their last five matches, Thionville average 2.4 goals compared with Concarneau’s 0.8, while their season-long xG stands at 1.49 versus the hosts’ 1.26. The visitors also look more solid defensively, allowing an average xG of just 0.89, compared with 1.33 for the hosts. The most likely scenario is therefore that the visitors will take the lead at the break and hold on to it until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Concarneau | Thionville Lusitanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Thionville Lusitanos is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / match - Concarneau · 2.5 pts / match - Thionville Lusitanos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Thionville Lusitanos is 233% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Concarneau · 2.5 goals / match - Thionville Lusitanos
Concarneau is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Concarneau · 1 goals / match - Thionville Lusitanos
Concarneau scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Thionville Lusitanos keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Thionville Lusitanos scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Concarneau
Over / Under - Thionville Lusitanos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Thionville Lusitanos is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Concarneau · 1.75 pts / match - Thionville Lusitanos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Thionville Lusitanos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Concarneau
Thionville Lusitanos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Concarneau | Liga | Thionville Lusitanos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.22 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 30% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos?
The National match finished Concarneau 2:2 Thionville Lusitanos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Concarneau score 0.75 goals per game on average and Thionville Lusitanos 2.50. The National average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Concarneau's matches and 50% of Thionville Lusitanos's.
What form are Concarneau and Thionville Lusitanos in?
Over the last 5 games Concarneau have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and Thionville Lusitanos 3-1-0 (2.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.