Concarneau vs Valenciennes: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for the draw. Concarneau shows stable form in home matches with a 36% win rate and only 27% losses, achieving a positive goal difference (+3) and a favorable xG ratio (1.52 to 0.86). Valenciennes displays better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG), however, they perform significantly worse away from home – with only an 18% win rate and a negative goal difference (-6). Valenciennes' high draw percentage away (45%) and Concarneau's tendency to share points at home (36% draws) suggest a split of the points. Considering the visitors' better form in recent weeks and the hosts' solidity at their own ground, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
Concarneau vs Valenciennes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Concarneau play Valenciennes in National (France). The match date is 20 March 2026 at 19:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Concarneau: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Valenciennes: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Concarneau scores 1.00 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Valenciennes scores 1.09 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Concarneau 41%, Valenciennes 56%. Over 2.5: Concarneau 44%, Valenciennes 47%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Valenciennes has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.29. Concarneau: 10.7 shots per match, Valenciennes: 11.8.
Match halves
Concarneau: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Valenciennes: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Concarneau: 61-75 (7 goals). Valenciennes: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for the draw. Concarneau shows stable form in home matches with a 36% win rate and only 27% losses, achieving a positive goal difference (+3) and a favorable xG ratio (1.52 to 0.86). Valenciennes displays better form in their last five matches (2.0 PPG) than the hosts (0.8 PPG), however, they perform significantly worse away from home – with only an 18% win rate and a negative goal difference (-6). Valenciennes' high draw percentage away (45%) and Concarneau's tendency to share points at home (36% draws) suggest a split of the points. Considering the visitors' better form in recent weeks and the hosts' solidity at their own ground, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Concarneau | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Concarneau is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Concarneau · 0.4 pts / match - Valenciennes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valenciennes is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Concarneau · 1.09 goals / match - Valenciennes
Concarneau is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Concarneau · 1.31 goals / match - Valenciennes
Concarneau scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while Valenciennes keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Valenciennes scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Concarneau
Over / Under — Valenciennes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concarneau is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Concarneau · 0.97 pts / match - Valenciennes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Valenciennes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Concarneau
Valenciennes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Concarneau | Liga | Valenciennes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.16 | 2.42 | • 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 29% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Concarneau 1 - 0 - 0 Valenciennes. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
The National match finished Concarneau 1:2 Valenciennes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
Concarneau score 1.00 goals per game on average and Valenciennes 1.09. The National average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Concarneau's matches and 56% of Valenciennes's.
What form are Concarneau and Valenciennes in?
Over the last 5 games Concarneau have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Valenciennes 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concarneau vs Valenciennes?
The statistical background for Concarneau vs Valenciennes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.