Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa RebolledoData current as of 02 September 2026

Concepción vs Audax Italiano: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Concepción vs Audax Italiano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Concepción play Audax Italiano in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo.

Current form

Concepción: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Audax Italiano: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Concepción scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Audax Italiano scores 1.14 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Concepción 33%, Audax Italiano 48%. Over 2.5: Concepción 33%, Audax Italiano 57%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Concepción has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.24. Concepción: 13.7 shots per match, Audax Italiano: 11.9.

Match halves

Concepción: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.57. Audax Italiano: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Concepción: 31-45+ (5 goals). Audax Italiano: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.10)
(3.10)
(3.20)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ConcepciónAudax Italiano
1.14Goals scored / match1.14
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
1.14Goals conceded / match1.48
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
47%Average possession50%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
3.71Shots on target / match3.33
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.67Shots per match11.86
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
3.71Shots on target3.33
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
8.4%Shot conversion9.6%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
47%Possession50%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
1.37xG for1.24
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
1.45xG against1.37
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

Shooting quality

Concepción: BalancedAudax Italiano: Balanced
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
Accuracy (shots on target)27%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Concepción is 117% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Concepción · 1.2 pts / match - Audax Italiano

Concepción
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
43% W14% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-9
1.43 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Audax Italiano
WDDDL
Season result split
24% W33% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-9
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Concepción is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Concepción · 1.48 goals / match - Audax Italiano

Concepción scoring profile: strong

Concepción scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Audax Italiano keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).

Audax Italiano scoring profile: strong

Audax Italiano scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).

24Goals scored (season)24
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
24Goals conceded (season)31
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
2.29Average goals in match2.62
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
8Goals scored (last 5)5
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
1Goals conceded (last 5)8
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal67%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
29%2 goals33%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
14%3 goals14%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
0%4 goals0%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal67%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
43%2 goals43%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
10%3 goals24%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
0%4 goals10%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time29%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
0%BTTS in both halves14%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
29%Scored in both halves29%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
20%BTTS - last 560%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Concepción is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Concepción · 1.14 pts / match - Audax Italiano

Concepción - half-time state
48% leading24% draw29% trailing
Audax Italiano - half-time state
24% leading43% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.14
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.71
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.43
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
71%Clean sheet before half-time48%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
48%No goal before half-time48%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
1.24Average goals (2nd half)1.19
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
52%Clean sheet after half-time48%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano
52%No goal after half-time57%
ConcepciónAudax Italiano

Concepción - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
35
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 43%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Audax Italiano - second-half results

14% W57% R29% P
24
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Concepción - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.402.20
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Audax Italiano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Concepción
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
5
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Audax Italiano
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
5
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Concepción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Audax Italiano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

ConcepciónLigaAudax Italiano
Average goals in match 2.292.88 2.62
Both teams scored 33%53% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%56% 57%
Clean sheets 38%26% 33%
Goal before half-time 76%74% 76%
Goal after half-time 76%78% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Concepción 0 - 0 - 1 Audax Italiano. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Concepción and Audax Italiano play?

Concepción face Audax Italiano on 5 September 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Concepción vs Audax Italiano?

Concepción score 1.14 goals per game on average and Audax Italiano 1.14. The Primera División average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Concepción's matches and 48% of Audax Italiano's.

What form are Concepción and Audax Italiano in?

Over the last 5 games Concepción have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Audax Italiano 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concepción vs Audax Italiano?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.