Concepción vs Ñublense: match statistics
Ñublense presents clearly better form than Concepción, confirmed by points per match (1.6 vs 0.8) and table position (6th place vs 15th place). The hosts have not won any home match this season (100% draws in home games), while the visitors boast a 50% away efficiency and a positive goal difference (+1). A key factor is also Ñublense's scoring efficiency – despite significantly lower possession (41% vs 66%), they achieve better shot conversion (13% vs 5%). Although Concepción has an advantage in xG at their own stadium (1.93 vs 0.89 xG for the visitors on the road), the lack of home wins and poor finishing speaks in favor of the more determined and effective Ñublense. The visitors' solid defense (0.5 goals conceded on average away) combined with the hosts' weak conversion (1 goal scored on average at home) gives the advantage to the visiting team.
Concepción vs Ñublense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Concepción played Ñublense in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Concepción: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ñublense: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Concepción scores 0.80 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Ñublense scores 1.00 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Concepción 60%, Ñublense 60%. Over 2.5: Concepción 40%, Ñublense 20%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Concepción has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.17. Concepción: 13.0 shots per match, Ñublense: 11.2.
Match halves
Concepción: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40. Ñublense: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Concepción: 76-90+ (2 goals). Ñublense: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ñublense presents clearly better form than Concepción, confirmed by points per match (1.6 vs 0.8) and table position (6th place vs 15th place). The hosts have not won any home match this season (100% draws in home games), while the visitors boast a 50% away efficiency and a positive goal difference (+1). A key factor is also Ñublense's scoring efficiency – despite significantly lower possession (41% vs 66%), they achieve better shot conversion (13% vs 5%). Although Concepción has an advantage in xG at their own stadium (1.93 vs 0.89 xG for the visitors on the road), the lack of home wins and poor finishing speaks in favor of the more determined and effective Ñublense. The visitors' solid defense (0.5 goals conceded on average away) combined with the hosts' weak conversion (1 goal scored on average at home) gives the advantage to the visiting team.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Concepción | Ñublense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 21% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ñublense is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Concepción · 1.6 pts / match - Ñublense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ñublense is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Concepción · 1 goals / match - Ñublense
Ñublense is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Concepción · 0.8 goals / match - Ñublense
Concepción scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Ñublense scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Concepción
Over / Under - Ñublense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concepción is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Concepción · 1 pts / match - Ñublense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concepción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ñublense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Concepción
Ñublense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Concepción | Liga | Ñublense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.34 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 44% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Concepción vs Ñublense?
The Primera División match finished Concepción 0:2 Ñublense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concepción vs Ñublense?
Concepción score 0.80 goals per game on average and Ñublense 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Concepción's matches and 60% of Ñublense's.
What form are Concepción and Ñublense in?
Over the last 5 games Concepción have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ñublense 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concepción vs Ñublense?
The statistical background for Concepción vs Ñublense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.