Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa RebolledoData current as of 23 July 2026

Concepción vs O'Higgins: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Concepción vs O'Higgins: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Concepción play O'Higgins in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 27 July 2026 at 02:30. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo.

Current form

Concepción: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. O'Higgins: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Concepción scores 0.93 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. O'Higgins scores 1.27 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Concepción 40%, O'Higgins 47%. Over 2.5: Concepción 40%, O'Higgins 47%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

O'Higgins has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.28. Concepción: 12.9 shots per match, O'Higgins: 13.7.

Match halves

Concepción: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. O'Higgins: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

Concepción: 76-90+ (4 goals). O'Higgins: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.06)
(3.10)
(2.32)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ConcepciónO'Higgins
0.93Goals scored / match1.27
ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.53Goals conceded / match1.47
ConcepciónO'Higgins
48%Average possession51%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
3.47Shots on target / match4.93
ConcepciónO'Higgins

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.93Shots per match13.73
ConcepciónO'Higgins
3.47Shots on target4.93
ConcepciónO'Higgins
7.2%Shot conversion9.2%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
48%Possession51%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.28xG for1.53
ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.42xG against1.35
ConcepciónO'Higgins

Shooting quality

Concepción: BalancedO'Higgins: Balanced
ConcepciónO'Higgins
Accuracy (shots on target)27%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Concepción is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Concepción · 0.8 pts / match - O'Higgins

Concepción
WLWLW
Season result split
27% W13% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-9
0.93 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
O'Higgins
WLLDL
Season result split
40% W13% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-7
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

O'Higgins is 37% better for: goals scored per match.

0.93 goals / match - Concepción · 1.27 goals / match - O'Higgins

Concepción scoring profile: strong

Concepción scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while O'Higgins keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

O'Higgins scoring profile: very strong

O'Higgins scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).

14Goals scored (season)19
ConcepciónO'Higgins
23Goals conceded (season)22
ConcepciónO'Higgins
2.47Average goals in match2.73
ConcepciónO'Higgins
7Goals scored (last 5)4
ConcepciónO'Higgins
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
ConcepciónO'Higgins

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal67%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
20%2 goals47%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
13%3 goals13%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
0%4 goals0%
ConcepciónO'Higgins

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal73%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
60%2 goals47%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
13%3 goals20%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
0%4 goals7%
ConcepciónO'Higgins

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time27%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
0%BTTS in both halves13%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
20%Scored in both halves33%
ConcepciónO'Higgins

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
40%BTTS - last 520%
ConcepciónO'Higgins

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
ConcepciónO'Higgins

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
ConcepciónO'Higgins

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Concepción is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Concepción · 1.2 pts / match - O'Higgins

Concepción - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
O'Higgins - half-time state
27% leading40% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.2
ConcepciónO'Higgins
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.67
ConcepciónO'Higgins
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
ConcepciónO'Higgins
1Average goals (1st half)1.27
ConcepciónO'Higgins
67%Clean sheet before half-time47%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
60%No goal before half-time47%
ConcepciónO'Higgins

After half-time (2nd half)

0.87Points per match (2nd half)1
ConcepciónO'Higgins
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
ConcepciónO'Higgins
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.47
ConcepciónO'Higgins
33%Clean sheet after half-time40%
ConcepciónO'Higgins
60%No goal after half-time53%
ConcepciónO'Higgins

Concepción - second-half results

13% W47% R40% P
20
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

O'Higgins - second-half results

20% W40% R40% P
18
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Concepción - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
O'Higgins - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.40.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Concepción
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

O'Higgins
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
3
2
16-30
4
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Concepción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.87
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

O'Higgins

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

ConcepciónLigaO'Higgins
Average goals in match 2.472.78 2.73
Both teams scored 40%49% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%53% 47%
Clean sheets 20%29% 27%
Goal before half-time 67%72% 80%
Goal after half-time 80%75% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+45%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Concepción 0 - 0 - 1 O'Higgins. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Concepción and O'Higgins play?

Concepción face O'Higgins on 27 July 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Concepción vs O'Higgins?

Concepción score 0.93 goals per game on average and O'Higgins 1.27. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Concepción's matches and 47% of O'Higgins's.

What form are Concepción and O'Higgins in?

Over the last 5 games Concepción have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and O'Higgins 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concepción vs O'Higgins?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.