Concepción vs O'Higgins: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Concepción vs O'Higgins: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Concepción play O'Higgins in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 27 July 2026 at 02:30. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo.
Current form
Concepción: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. O'Higgins: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Concepción scores 0.93 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. O'Higgins scores 1.27 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Concepción 40%, O'Higgins 47%. Over 2.5: Concepción 40%, O'Higgins 47%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
O'Higgins has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.28. Concepción: 12.9 shots per match, O'Higgins: 13.7.
Match halves
Concepción: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. O'Higgins: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Concepción: 76-90+ (4 goals). O'Higgins: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Concepción | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Concepción is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Concepción · 0.8 pts / match - O'Higgins
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
O'Higgins is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Concepción · 1.27 goals / match - O'Higgins
Concepción scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while O'Higgins keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
O'Higgins scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Concepción
Over / Under — O'Higgins
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concepción is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Concepción · 1.2 pts / match - O'Higgins
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Concepción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
O'Higgins - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Concepción
O'Higgins
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Concepción | Liga | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.78 | • 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Concepción 0 - 0 - 1 O'Higgins. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Concepción and O'Higgins play?
Concepción face O'Higgins on 27 July 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Concepción vs O'Higgins?
Concepción score 0.93 goals per game on average and O'Higgins 1.27. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Concepción's matches and 47% of O'Higgins's.
What form are Concepción and O'Higgins in?
Over the last 5 games Concepción have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and O'Higgins 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concepción vs O'Higgins?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


