Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa RebolledoData current as of 03 November 2026

Concepción vs Palestino: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Concepción vs Palestino: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Concepción play Palestino in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 2 November 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo.

Current form

Concepción: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Palestino: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Concepción scores 1.08 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Palestino scores 1.56 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Concepción 40%, Palestino 64%. Over 2.5: Concepción 32%, Palestino 56%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Palestino has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.36. Concepción: 13.4 shots per match, Palestino: 15.1.

Match halves

Concepción: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.52. Palestino: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.92.

Goals by minute

Concepción: 0-15 (5 goals). Palestino: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.55)
(3.30)
(2.55)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ConcepciónPalestino
1.08Goals scored / match1.56
ConcepciónPalestino
1.2Goals conceded / match1.44
ConcepciónPalestino
46%Average possession52%
ConcepciónPalestino
3.68Shots on target / match4.68
ConcepciónPalestino

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.4Shots per match15.12
ConcepciónPalestino
3.68Shots on target4.68
ConcepciónPalestino
8.1%Shot conversion10.3%
ConcepciónPalestino
46%Possession52%
ConcepciónPalestino
1.36xG for1.55
ConcepciónPalestino
1.48xG against1.37
ConcepciónPalestino

Shooting quality

Concepción: BalancedPalestino: Attacking
ConcepciónPalestino
Accuracy (shots on target)27%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Concepción
WLDDL
Season result split
36% W20% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-11
1.28 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-4-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Palestino
LWLDD
Season result split
44% W20% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-9
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palestino is 44% better for: goals scored per match.

1.08 goals / match - Concepción · 1.56 goals / match - Palestino

Concepción is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.2 goals / match - Concepción · 1.44 goals / match - Palestino

Concepción scoring profile: very strong

Concepción scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Palestino keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).

Palestino scoring profile: strong

Palestino scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).

27Goals scored (season)39
ConcepciónPalestino
30Goals conceded (season)36
ConcepciónPalestino
2.28Average goals in match3
ConcepciónPalestino
4Goals scored (last 5)7
ConcepciónPalestino
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
ConcepciónPalestino

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal76%
ConcepciónPalestino
24%2 goals40%
ConcepciónPalestino
12%3 goals16%
ConcepciónPalestino
0%4 goals16%
ConcepciónPalestino

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal80%
ConcepciónPalestino
40%2 goals40%
ConcepciónPalestino
12%3 goals12%
ConcepciónPalestino
0%4 goals4%
ConcepciónPalestino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time24%
ConcepciónPalestino
0%BTTS in both halves8%
ConcepciónPalestino
24%Scored in both halves24%
ConcepciónPalestino

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
ConcepciónPalestino
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ConcepciónPalestino
60%BTTS - last 580%
ConcepciónPalestino

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
ConcepciónPalestino
16%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
ConcepciónPalestino
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
ConcepciónPalestino

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
ConcepciónPalestino
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
ConcepciónPalestino
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
ConcepciónPalestino

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Concepción is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - Concepción · 1.16 pts / match - Palestino

Concepción - half-time state
44% leading24% draw32% trailing
Palestino - half-time state
28% leading32% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.16
ConcepciónPalestino
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.64
ConcepciónPalestino
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
ConcepciónPalestino
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.4
ConcepciónPalestino
68%Clean sheet before half-time44%
ConcepciónPalestino
48%No goal before half-time52%
ConcepciónPalestino

After half-time (2nd half)

1.16Points per match (2nd half)1.64
ConcepciónPalestino
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)0.92
ConcepciónPalestino
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
ConcepciónPalestino
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.6
ConcepciónPalestino
48%Clean sheet after half-time52%
ConcepciónPalestino
56%No goal after half-time48%
ConcepciónPalestino

Concepción - second-half results

24% W44% D32% L
39
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Palestino - second-half results

44% W32% D24% L
29
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding157%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Concepción - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Palestino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.002.00
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-5+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Concepción
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
4
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
3
5
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Palestino
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
8
8
16-30
6
8
31-45
5
2
46-60
6
7
61-75
12
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Concepción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Palestino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

ConcepciónLigaPalestino
Average goals in match▼ 2.282.87▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 40%54%▲ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 32%54%▲ 56%
Clean sheets▲ 32%26%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 76%74%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time• 76%77%• 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Concepción 1 - 0 - 0 Palestino. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Concepción and Palestino play?

Concepción face Palestino on 2 November 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Concepción vs Palestino?

Concepción score 1.08 goals per game on average and Palestino 1.56. The Primera División average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Concepción's matches and 64% of Palestino's.

What form are Concepción and Palestino in?

Over the last 5 games Concepción have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Palestino 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Concepción vs Palestino?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.