Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueDeeside College StadiumData current as of 13 September 2026

Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Connah's Quay play Airbus UK in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 15 September 2026. Venue: Deeside College Stadium.

Current form

Connah's Quay: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Airbus UK: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Connah's Quay scores 2.38 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Airbus UK scores 1.63 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.14 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Connah's Quay 63%, Airbus UK 25%. Over 2.5: Connah's Quay 75%, Airbus UK 25%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.58. Connah's Quay: 16.3 shots per match, Airbus UK: 13.9.

Match halves

Connah's Quay: half-time lead 88%, second-half goals 1.00. Airbus UK: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Connah's Quay: 0-15 (4 goals). Airbus UK: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Connah's QuayAirbus UK
2.38Goals scored / match1.63
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
0.88Goals conceded / match1.38
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
57%Average possession51%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
6Shots on target / match5.88
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.25Shots per match13.88
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
6Shots on target5.88
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
14.6%Shot conversion11.7%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
57%Possession51%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
1.81xG for1.58
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
0.87xG against1.48
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

Shooting quality

Connah's Quay: DominantAirbus UK: Balanced
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
Accuracy (shots on target)37%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Connah's Quay is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 1.2 pts / match - Airbus UK

Connah's Quay
WWWDL
Season result split
63% W13% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 0.80BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Airbus UK
LLWWL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-4
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 away
2-0-2
WLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

2.38 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.63 goals / match - Airbus UK

Connah's Quay is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.38 goals / match - Airbus UK

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Airbus UK keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

Airbus UK scoring profile: strong

Airbus UK scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

19Goals scored (season)13
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
7Goals conceded (season)11
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
3.25Average goals in match3
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
9Goals scored (last 5)10
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
4Goals conceded (last 5)9
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal63%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
63%2 goals50%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
38%3 goals13%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
13%4 goals13%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal63%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
25%2 goals50%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
0%3 goals13%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
0%4 goals13%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time13%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
0%BTTS in both halves13%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
50%Scored in both halves38%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
60%BTTS - last 540%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.75 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 1.25 pts / match - Airbus UK

Connah's Quay - half-time state
88% leading13% draw0% trailing
Airbus UK - half-time state
38% leading13% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.75Points per match (1st half)1.25
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
1.38Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
0.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.38
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
88%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
13%No goal before half-time63%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)1.75
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.63
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
50%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK
38%No goal after half-time38%
Connah's QuayAirbus UK

Connah's Quay - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding72%

Leads at half-time in 88% of matches and wins 63%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Airbus UK - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Connah's Quay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.60
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Airbus UK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
4
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Airbus UK
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
5
3
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.94
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Airbus UK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Connah's QuayLigaAirbus UK
Average goals in match 3.253.14 3.00
Both teams scored 63%50% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%58% 25%
Clean sheets 38%26% 38%
Goal before half-time 88%78% 88%
Goal after half-time 88%84% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.14
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Connah's Quay and Airbus UK play?

Connah's Quay face Airbus UK on 15 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Deeside College Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK?

Connah's Quay score 2.38 goals per game on average and Airbus UK 1.63. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Connah's Quay's matches and 25% of Airbus UK's.

What form are Connah's Quay and Airbus UK in?

Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Airbus UK 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Airbus UK?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.