Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: match statistics
Connah's Quay are in impressive form, having won their last five matches consecutively, netting 13 goals while conceding just 4. The hosts sit 2nd in the table and boast a 60% win rate at home, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Barry Town United possesses significantly weaker away statistics, winning just 30% of their road fixtures with an average of 1.3 goals scored and a negative goal difference (-1). Connah's Quay's superiority in possession (62% vs 54%), shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%), and expected goals (2.06 vs 1.3) further reinforces their dominance. Considering all these factors, the hosts are the clear favorites for this encounter.
Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Connah's Quay played Barry Town United in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Connah's Quay: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Barry Town United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Connah's Quay scores 2.15 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Barry Town United scores 1.35 and concedes 1.05. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Connah's Quay 60%, Barry Town United 45%. Over 2.5: Connah's Quay 75%, Barry Town United 45%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.40. Connah's Quay: 13.8 shots per match, Barry Town United: 10.7.
Match halves
Connah's Quay: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.25. Barry Town United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (10 goals). Barry Town United: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay are in impressive form, having won their last five matches consecutively, netting 13 goals while conceding just 4. The hosts sit 2nd in the table and boast a 60% win rate at home, averaging 2.5 goals per game. Barry Town United possesses significantly weaker away statistics, winning just 30% of their road fixtures with an average of 1.3 goals scored and a negative goal difference (-1). Connah's Quay's superiority in possession (62% vs 54%), shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%), and expected goals (2.06 vs 1.3) further reinforces their dominance. Considering all these factors, the hosts are the clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Connah's Quay | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 1.6 pts / match - Barry Town United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
2.15 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.35 goals / match - Barry Town United
Barry Town United is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.05 goals / match - Barry Town United
Connah's Quay scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Barry Town United keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Barry Town United scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
Over / Under - Barry Town United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 1.3 pts / match - Barry Town United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Barry Town United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Connah's Quay
Barry Town United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Connah's Quay | Liga | Barry Town United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 3.06 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 58% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 28% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 74% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Connah's Quay 0 - 1 - 0 Barry Town United. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 3:1 Barry Town United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
Connah's Quay score 2.15 goals per game on average and Barry Town United 1.35. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Connah's Quay's matches and 45% of Barry Town United's.
What form are Connah's Quay and Barry Town United in?
Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Barry Town United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Connah's Quay vs Barry Town United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.