Connah's Quay vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics
Connah's Quay vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Connah's Quay played Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 5 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Connah's Quay: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Connah's Quay scores 2.00 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 1.39 and concedes 1.06. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Connah's Quay 56%, Colwyn Bay 44%. Over 2.5: Connah's Quay 75%, Colwyn Bay 33%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.46. Connah's Quay: 13.3 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 11.8.
Match halves
Connah's Quay: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.19. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Connah's Quay: 61-75 (7 goals). Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Connah's Quay | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 1.8 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.39 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 1.06 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
Connah's Quay scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Colwyn Bay scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Connah's Quay
Colwyn Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Connah's Quay | Liga | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.13 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 60% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▼ 39% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Connah's Quay 0 - 1 - 0 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Connah's Quay vs Colwyn Bay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Connah's Quay 2:1 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Colwyn Bay?
Connah's Quay score 2.00 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.39. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Connah's Quay's matches and 44% of Colwyn Bay's.
What form are Connah's Quay and Colwyn Bay in?
Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Colwyn Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.