Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Connah's Quay play Haverfordwest County in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 4 September 2026. Venue: Deeside College Stadium.
Current form
Connah's Quay: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Haverfordwest County: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Connah's Quay scores 2.83 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Haverfordwest County scores 0.33 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Connah's Quay 50%, Haverfordwest County 17%. Over 2.5: Connah's Quay 83%, Haverfordwest County 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.04. Connah's Quay: 13.5 shots per match, Haverfordwest County: 8.8.
Match halves
Connah's Quay: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.17. Haverfordwest County: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Connah's Quay: 31-45+ (4 goals). Haverfordwest County: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Connah's Quay | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 400% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 0.6 pts / match - Haverfordwest County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 758% better for: goals scored per match.
2.83 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 0.33 goals / match - Haverfordwest County
Connah's Quay is 199% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Connah's Quay · 2 goals / match - Haverfordwest County
Connah's Quay scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Haverfordwest County scores in 17% of matches (1 of 6 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
Over / Under - Haverfordwest County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 348% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / match - Connah's Quay · 0.67 pts / match - Haverfordwest County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 83%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Haverfordwest County - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Connah's Quay
Haverfordwest County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Connah's Quay | Liga | Haverfordwest County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.31 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Connah's Quay 1 - 1 - 0 Haverfordwest County. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Connah's Quay and Haverfordwest County play?
Connah's Quay face Haverfordwest County on 4 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Deeside College Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Connah's Quay and Haverfordwest County?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Connah's Quay won 1, Haverfordwest County won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County?
Connah's Quay score 2.83 goals per game on average and Haverfordwest County 0.33. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Connah's Quay's matches and 17% of Haverfordwest County's.
What form are Connah's Quay and Haverfordwest County in?
Over the last 5 games Connah's Quay have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Haverfordwest County 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.