Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II: match statistics
Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Connecticut United play FC Cincinnati II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 19 June 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Connecticut United: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. FC Cincinnati II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Connecticut United scores 1.83 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. FC Cincinnati II scores 0.94 and concedes 1.89. League average: 3.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Connecticut United 78%, FC Cincinnati II 44%. Over 2.5: Connecticut United 83%, FC Cincinnati II 61%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Connecticut United has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.26. Connecticut United: 13.9 shots per match, FC Cincinnati II: 9.8.
Match halves
Connecticut United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. FC Cincinnati II: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Connecticut United: 76-90+ (9 goals). FC Cincinnati II: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Connecticut United has the edge in chance creation and better recent form: in the last five matches they scored 10 goals (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) and have home xG of 1.56, while FC Cincinnati II scored only 1 goal in their last five matches and have away xG of 1.21. The hosts average 12.5 shots and 5 on-target per home match versus the visitors’ 9.17 shots and 3.5 on-target away, translating into higher-quality chances for Connecticut despite both teams having an equally low conversion rate (4%). Defensively the visitors look weaker — FC Cincinnati II concedes 2.33 goals per away match and have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 games, whereas the hosts concede 1.75 goals in home matches. The risk for the hosts stems from having not yet won at home (0% wins) and failing to score in 50% of home appearances, but they have recently averaged 1.4 points per match in their last five games compared to 0 points for the visitors. Considering the hosts’ superior xG (1.56 vs 1.21), higher shot volume and the visitors’ dire run (0 points in the last 5 matches and 100% away defeats), I predict a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Connecticut United | FC Cincinnati II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connecticut United is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Connecticut United · 0.8 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connecticut United is 95% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Connecticut United · 0.94 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II
Connecticut United is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Connecticut United · 1.89 goals / match - FC Cincinnati II
Connecticut United scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
FC Cincinnati II scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Connecticut United
Over / Under — FC Cincinnati II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connecticut United is 128% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Connecticut United · 0.61 pts / match - FC Cincinnati II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Connecticut United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Cincinnati II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -8 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Connecticut United
FC Cincinnati II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Connecticut United | Liga | FC Cincinnati II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.61 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 61% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Connecticut United 1 - 0 - 0 FC Cincinnati II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Connecticut United 4:0 FC Cincinnati II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II?
Connecticut United score 1.83 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati II 0.94. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Connecticut United's matches and 44% of FC Cincinnati II's.
What form are Connecticut United and FC Cincinnati II in?
Over the last 5 games Connecticut United have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and FC Cincinnati II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connecticut United vs FC Cincinnati II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.