United States - MLS Next ProData current as of 19 September 2026

Connecticut United vs Inter Miami II: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Connecticut United vs Inter Miami II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Connecticut United play Inter Miami II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 20 September 2026.

Current form

Connecticut United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Inter Miami II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Connecticut United scores 1.93 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Inter Miami II scores 1.04 and concedes 2.48. League average: 3.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Connecticut United 78%, Inter Miami II 63%. Over 2.5: Connecticut United 81%, Inter Miami II 63%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Connecticut United has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.48. Connecticut United: 12.7 shots per match, Inter Miami II: 12.5.

Match halves

Connecticut United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.85. Inter Miami II: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.41.

Goals by minute

Connecticut United: 31-45+ (11 goals). Inter Miami II: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS Next Pro: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
1.93Goals scored / match1.04
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
1.85Goals conceded / match2.48
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
43%Average possession54%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
5.56Shots on target / match4.7
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.7Shots per match12.48
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
5.56Shots on target4.7
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
15.2%Shot conversion8.3%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
43%Possession54%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
1.6xG for1.48
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
1.35xG against1.89
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

Shooting quality

Connecticut United: Counter-attackingInter Miami II: Balanced
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
Accuracy (shots on target)44%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Connecticut United is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Connecticut United · 0.8 pts / match - Inter Miami II

Connecticut United
WWLLL
Season result split
48% W7% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-2-12
1.52 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Inter Miami II
LDWLL
Season result split
11% W19% D70% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-19
0.52 pts / match · goal difference -39
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-11
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 2.10BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connecticut United is 86% better for: goals scored per match.

1.93 goals / match - Connecticut United · 1.04 goals / match - Inter Miami II

Connecticut United is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.85 goals / match - Connecticut United · 2.48 goals / match - Inter Miami II

Connecticut United scoring profile: very strong

Connecticut United scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while Inter Miami II keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 27 matches).

Inter Miami II scoring profile: very strong

Inter Miami II scores in 63% of matches (17 of 27 matches), while Connecticut United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).

52Goals scored (season)28
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
50Goals conceded (season)67
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
3.78Average goals in match3.52
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
9Goals scored (last 5)8
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
11Goals conceded (last 5)14
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal63%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
59%2 goals19%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
33%3 goals11%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
15%4 goals11%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal96%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
63%2 goals70%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
19%3 goals48%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
15%4 goals30%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

78%
Connecticut United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 27 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

37%BTTS at half-time26%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
11%BTTS in both halves15%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
48%Scored in both halves19%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

BTTS and goal count

78%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time26%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connecticut United is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.37 pts / match - Connecticut United · 1.04 pts / match - Inter Miami II

Connecticut United - half-time state
33% leading37% draw30% trailing
Inter Miami II - half-time state
26% leading26% draw48% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.37Points per match (1st half)1.04
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)1.07
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.7
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
48%Clean sheet before half-time30%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
33%No goal before half-time59%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)0.44
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.41
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
1.07Goals conceded (2nd half)1.41
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
1.93Average goals (2nd half)1.81
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
33%Clean sheet after half-time15%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II
37%No goal after half-time59%
Connecticut UnitedInter Miami II

Connecticut United - second-half results

33% W26% D41% L
37
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.37
PPG before half-time
Lead holding145%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Inter Miami II - second-half results

4% W33% D63% L
28
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-27
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding42%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Connecticut United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.22.0
Average goals in match1.42.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5-7
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Inter Miami II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.40
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.41.4
Average goals in match2.61.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Connecticut United
ScoredConceded
10
4
0-15
8
9
16-30
11
8
31-45
5
8
46-60
7
10
61-75
11
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Inter Miami II
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
6
9
16-30
6
13
31-45
3
15
46-60
3
11
61-75
5
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Connecticut United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Inter Miami II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

Connecticut UnitedLigaInter Miami II
Average goals in match 3.783.33 3.52
Both teams scored 78%63% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 81%66% 63%
Clean sheets 11%21% 4%
Goal before half-time 81%76% 85%
Goal after half-time 93%85% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.33
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.91
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Connecticut United and Inter Miami II play?

Connecticut United face Inter Miami II on 20 September 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Connecticut United vs Inter Miami II?

Connecticut United score 1.93 goals per game on average and Inter Miami II 1.04. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Connecticut United's matches and 63% of Inter Miami II's.

What form are Connecticut United and Inter Miami II in?

Over the last 5 games Connecticut United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Inter Miami II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Connecticut United vs Inter Miami II?

The statistical background for Connecticut United vs Inter Miami II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.