Coquimbo Unido vs Ñublense: match statistics
Coquimbo Unido vs Ñublense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Coquimbo Unido played Ñublense in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Coquimbo Unido: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ñublense: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Coquimbo Unido scores 1.38 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Ñublense scores 1.11 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Coquimbo Unido 50%, Ñublense 44%. Over 2.5: Coquimbo Unido 50%, Ñublense 22%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Coquimbo Unido has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.29. Coquimbo Unido: 15.0 shots per match, Ñublense: 12.3.
Match halves
Coquimbo Unido: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75. Ñublense: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Coquimbo Unido: 61-75 (4 goals). Ñublense: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the draw (X). Coquimbo averages 1.5 goals per home match and xG 1.96, with 18.5 shots and 5.25 on target; in their last 5 home games the hosts scored 9 goals (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Ñublense stand out defensively away — conceding only 0.25 goals on average, keeping 75% clean sheets and FTS 25%, with away xG against of 1.06, indicating efficiency in defending chances. Hosts hold possession advantage (53% vs 43%) and higher average xG (1.96 vs 1.15), but concede 1.25 goals at home, while visitors are unbeaten away (loss% 0) and have a favorable record (win% 50, draw% 50). Considering PPG over the last 5 matches (Coquimbo 2.0 vs Ñublense 1.6) and the contrast between created chances and the visitors’ defensive solidity, I expect an even, low-scoring game and assign probabilities: home 35%, draw 40%, away 25%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Coquimbo Unido has a seasonal BTTS rate of 60% and averages 1.2 goals per match (xG 1.4), with 13.6 shots per game, indicating the hosts' attacking potential. Ñublense has a seasonal BTTS of just 25%, concedes only 0.25 goals on the road on average and keeps a clean sheet in 75% of away matches, having conceded only 6 goals this season, which strongly suggests defensive solidity for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Coquimbo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (last 5 BTTS 60%), while Ñublense averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded (last 5 BTTS 40%), so the recent gap has narrowed but the visitors still less frequently allow both teams to score. Additionally, the league clean sheet rate is 63% and average goals per game is 2.61; the hosts’ attacking edge of 69% and higher shot count (13.6 vs 10.75) increase the hosts’ chance to score, yet the high visitor clean sheet rate (75%) and low seasonal BTTS for the visitors (25%) prevail. Therefore I assess the probability as BTTS - No 62% and BTTS - Yes 38% as the most likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate total expected goals at ~2.33: home ~1.23 xG (1.40 + 1.06 divided by 2) and away ~1.10 xG (1.15 + 1.04 divided by 2). With a total of 2.33, a Poisson distribution yields ~67% chance of Over 1.5 goals, ~41% chance of Over 2.5 goals and ~20% chance of Over 3.5 goals. Season metrics confirm a moderate goal environment — Coquimbo has 40% of matches Over 2.5, Ñublense 0%; home teams average 1.2 goals, away teams 1.0, while away teams concede only 0.25 per match and keep 75% clean sheets. Coquimbo generates more shots (13.6 vs 10.75) and has higher recent xG (1.82 vs 1.30), but the league average is 2.61 goals, so our estimate of 2.33 is below the league mean. As a result the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (≈80% chance), since the probability of 4+ goals is low (~20%) and season Over3.5 is 20% for the home side and 0% for the away side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Coquimbo led at the break in 40% of their home matches, and the home side average 0.6 goals by half-time versus 0.25 for Ñublense, giving them an edge in the first half. However, Ñublense are very solid defensively — they concede only 0.25 goals per game on average and keep a clean sheet in 75% of matches, while winning the second half 75% of the time with a +3.0 goal differential. xG indicates Coquimbo creates more chances (xG 1.40 vs 1.15), but xG against is comparable (1.04 vs 1.06), so the difference appears to be timing within the match rather than a material quality gap. Given the 40% rate of the home side leading at the break and Ñublense’s dominance after half-time, the most likely scenario is 1/2 (Half-Time/Full-Time) with ~20% probability. Alternatives are draw/draw (X/X) at 18% or draw at half and an away win (X/2) at 14%, which aligns with Ñublense’s 50% share of draws and a 63% clean sheet rate in the league.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Coquimbo Unido | Ñublense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ñublense is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Coquimbo Unido · 1.6 pts / match - Ñublense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Coquimbo Unido is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Coquimbo Unido · 1.11 goals / match - Ñublense
Ñublense is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Coquimbo Unido · 0.67 goals / match - Ñublense
Coquimbo Unido scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).
Ñublense scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Coquimbo Unido keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Coquimbo Unido
Over / Under - Ñublense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Coquimbo Unido is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Coquimbo Unido · 1.44 pts / match - Ñublense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Coquimbo Unido - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ñublense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Coquimbo Unido
Ñublense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Coquimbo Unido | Liga | Ñublense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.62 | ▼ 1.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 32% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Coquimbo Unido 1 - 1 - 0 Ñublense. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Coquimbo Unido vs Ñublense?
The Primera División match finished Coquimbo Unido 1:1 Ñublense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Coquimbo Unido and Ñublense?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Coquimbo Unido won 1, Ñublense won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Coquimbo Unido vs Ñublense?
Coquimbo Unido score 1.38 goals per game on average and Ñublense 1.11. The Primera División average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Coquimbo Unido's matches and 44% of Ñublense's.
What form are Coquimbo Unido and Ñublense in?
Over the last 5 games Coquimbo Unido have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ñublense 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coquimbo Unido vs Ñublense?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Coquimbo Unido vs Ñublense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.