Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Corinthians played Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Arena Corinthians. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Corinthians: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Corinthians scores 0.88 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.31 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Corinthians 50%, Atlético Mineiro 44%. Over 2.5: Corinthians 31%, Atlético Mineiro 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.17. Corinthians: 11.2 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.9.
Match halves
Corinthians: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.44. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Corinthians: 16-30 (4 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast a home win ('1'). Corinthians average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in home matches, with average xG for 1.30 vs xG against 1.19 and 38% clean sheets, indicating defensive stability at home. Atlético Mineiro has a better season goal tally (21 vs 14) and higher away xG for (1.44 vs 1.30) and more shots on target (4.25 vs 3.75), but 63% of their away matches end without scoring and 75% of away games are losses, which significantly reduces their effectiveness on the road. Both teams have identical 1.6 points per game in the last 5 fixtures, and in the last 5 matches Corinthians scored 7 goals vs 9 for Atlético, so the offenses are similar. Considering the hosts' superior defensive stability, higher clean sheet rate (38% vs 13%) and Atlético's negative away GD (-2), I assess the probabilities as 50% for the home win, 30% for a draw and 20% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick 'BTTS - Yes' because Corinthians has a season BTTS rate of 63% versus Atlético's 25%, and the strongest signal is recent form: both teams are 80% BTTS in the last 5 matches. The home side averages 1.63 goals scored and concedes 1.5 per match, the away side averages 1.0 scored and concedes 1.25, and xG shows 1.53 (Corinthians) vs 1.44 (Atlético) for attack and 1.51 vs 1.49 for xG against, suggesting open games and scoring opportunities for both sides. Corinthians average 14.5 shots with 5.0 on target and 11% conversion, Atlético 13.25 shots with 4.25 on target and 8% conversion — both sides create chances and have goal potential. The counterargument is Atlético's high season percentage of matches without scoring at 63%, but in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 9 goals (1.8 per match) and have 80% BTTS, indicating improved offensive form. Considering the league BTTS rate of 59%, low clean sheet rates for home and away (25% and 13%) and the dominant 80% run in the last 5 matches, I assess BTTS probability at 68% for 'yes' and 32% for 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Corinthians score an average of 1.63 goals per match, Atlético Mineiro 1.00; xG models show 1.53 (Corinthians) and 1.44 (Atlético), and after adjusting for opponent defenses I expect 1.51 goals for the home side and 1.48 for the visitors, totaling 2.99 goals. Seasonal percentages for matches over 1.5 are 75% (Corinthians) and 63% (Atlético), while over 2.5 are 63% and 38%, and the league averages 2.67 goals per match, which supports results over 1.5 and gives a moderate lean toward Over 2.5. In the last 5 matches Corinthians have an xG of 1.9 and scored 7 goals (1.4 avg), Atlético have an xG of 1.33 and 9 goals (1.8 avg), and BTTS in the last 5 matches is 80% for both teams, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering this, I assess the probability of Over 1.5 at 90% (Under 10%), Over 2.5 at 62% (Under 38%) and Over 3.5 at 36% (Under 64%), therefore I recommend betting on Over 2.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (home team leading at the break and winning), which I assign a 30% probability. Corinthians led at the break in 3 of 8 matches (38%) and won 4 of 8 games (50%), whereas Atlético were leading at the break in only 2 of 8 matches (25%) and lost 6 of 8 (75%). Additionally, the hosts have a higher xG of 1.53 versus 1.44 for their opponents and score on average 0.88 goals after the break compared to Atlético’s 0.38, which increases the likelihood that Corinthians will improve the score in the second half. The advantage is further supported by the hosts’ 5.0 shots on target and 11% conversion rate versus 4.25 and 8% for the visitors, so 1/1 is the strongest signal; alternatives are X/X (28%) and X/1 (18%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Corinthians | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Corinthians · 1.31 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Corinthians is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Corinthians · 1.38 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Corinthians scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Corinthians keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Corinthians
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Corinthians · 1.31 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Corinthians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Corinthians
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Corinthians | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.67 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Corinthians 1 - 1 - 0 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Corinthians 1:0 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Corinthians and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Corinthians won 1, Atlético Mineiro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro?
Corinthians score 0.88 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.31. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Corinthians's matches and 44% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Corinthians and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Corinthians have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.