Coritiba vs Fluminense: match statistics
Coritiba vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Coritiba played Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Coritiba: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fluminense: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Coritiba scores 1.11 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.78 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Coritiba 33%, Fluminense 67%. Over 2.5: Coritiba 22%, Fluminense 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.10. Coritiba: 10.8 shots per match, Fluminense: 15.3.
Match halves
Coritiba: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67. Fluminense: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Coritiba: 46-60 (4 goals). Fluminense: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win ('2'). Fluminense has a clear offensive edge: 16 goals away (1.5 per match) and 11 goals in the last 5 games, while Coritiba have scored 10 goals at home this season (0.5 per match) and only 5 in their last 5. The visitors create better chances — on average 15 shots and 5.75 on target per away match with a 10% conversion, versus 13 shots and 3 on target for the hosts with a 4% conversion, and Fluminense’s xG 1.67 exceeds Coritiba’s 1.24. Defensively Coritiba concede less at home (0.75 goals per match and 3 conceded in the last 5), but they have a high rate of matches at home without scoring (50%), whereas Fluminense have not had an away match without scoring (0% such games) despite conceding 1.5 goals per away match on average. Considering the visitors’ higher efficiency, ball control (60% possession away) and better recent form (Fluminense 4 wins in 5 vs Coritiba 3 wins and 1 draw in 5), I assign a 60% probability to a Fluminense win, 25% to a draw and 15% to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators point to BTTS: Coritiba has BTTS at 60%, Fluminense 75%, and the league average is 56%, giving an initial signal for BTTS - Yes. Fluminense scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches (2.2 avg) with an xG of 1.91 in that period, while Coritiba’s seasonal home xG is 1.78 with an average of 2.0 goals, so both teams create scoring chances. The counterargument is Coritiba’s defensive form: they conceded only 3 goals in the last 5 matches (0.6 avg) and have 40% clean sheets this season, which lowers the likelihood of BTTS. Additionally, Fluminense concedes 1.5 goals on the road seasonally, and their away xG against is 1.61, indicating their attack may face resistance; combining these signals yields a moderate edge for BTTS 'Yes' (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The teams’ combined seasonal xG is 1.78 (Coritiba) + 1.67 (Fluminense) = 3.45; after adjusting for opponents’ defensive strength (xG against: Coritiba 1.02, Fluminense 1.61) I estimate 1.70 goals for Coritiba and 1.35 for Fluminense, totaling 3.05 expected goals. Fluminense have 100% of season matches over 1.5 (seasonOver15Percentage_away = 100), Coritiba 60%, and both teams register BTTS: 60% (home) and 75% (away), which increases the probability of at least two goals. In the last 5 matches Coritiba scored 5 goals (avg 1.0) and Fluminense 11 goals (avg 2.2), with the away team having a 60% share of Over 2.5 in the last 5, further supporting a minimum-2-goal forecast. Based on this I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (estimated 88%); Over 2.5 I assess at 64%, and Over 3.5 at 32%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Coritiba leading at half-time and winning) because the home side have a clear home advantage: 100.0% home wins, averaging 2.0 goals per match and 3.0 points per match. Coritiba generate xG 1.78 versus Fluminense’s 1.67 while conceding fewer expected goals (1.02 vs 1.61), also recording more shots on target (7.0 vs 5.75) and a higher finishing efficiency (13% vs 10%). At half-time the hosts score on average 1.0 goal and concede only 0.2 (scoredAVGHT_home 1.0, concededAVGHT_home 0.2), which, together with a season lead-at-the-break rate of 60.0%, supports Coritiba holding a lead at the break; this must be weighed against a short-term signal from Fluminense, who led at the break in 100.0% of their last five matches. Considering Coritiba’s higher shooting efficiency and Fluminense’s higher average goals conceded (seasonConcededAVG_away 1.5), the strongest signal from the data is 1/1, with X/1 as the second, less likely option.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Coritiba | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fluminense is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Coritiba · 2.4 pts / match - Fluminense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Coritiba · 1.78 goals / match - Fluminense
Coritiba is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Coritiba · 1.11 goals / match - Fluminense
Coritiba scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Fluminense scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Coritiba keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Coritiba
Over / Under - Fluminense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Coritiba · 2.22 pts / match - Fluminense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Coritiba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Coritiba
Fluminense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Coritiba | Liga | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.72 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Coritiba vs Fluminense?
The Serie A match finished Coritiba 1:1 Fluminense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Coritiba vs Fluminense?
Coritiba score 1.11 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.78. The Serie A average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Coritiba's matches and 67% of Fluminense's.
What form are Coritiba and Fluminense in?
Over the last 5 games Coritiba have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fluminense 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coritiba vs Fluminense?
The statistical background for Coritiba vs Fluminense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.