Coritiba vs São Paulo: match statistics
São Paulo presents decidedly better form with 4 wins in the last 5 matches and a 2-1-0 record this season, while Coritiba has not won any match at home (0% Win%). The hosts have an alarming shot conversion rate (0%) and have not scored a goal in any home match (100% FTS%), placing them in a very difficult situation. São Paulo dominates in terms of possession (50% vs 29%), efficiency (13% vs 0%), and average xG (0.82 vs 0.78), indicating a clear qualitative advantage. The difference in points per match in the last 5 games (2.6 vs 1.8) and table position (2nd place vs 11th place) further confirm the visitors' advantage. Considering Coritiba's helplessness before their own crowd and São Paulo's solid disposition, a victory for the guests is the most likely scenario.
Coritiba vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Coritiba played São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 25 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Coritiba: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. São Paulo: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Coritiba scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Coritiba 67%, São Paulo 67%. Over 2.5: Coritiba 67%, São Paulo 33%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
São Paulo has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.07. Coritiba: 10.3 shots per match, São Paulo: 12.0.
Match halves
Coritiba: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. São Paulo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Coritiba: 46-60 (3 goals). São Paulo: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
São Paulo presents decidedly better form with 4 wins in the last 5 matches and a 2-1-0 record this season, while Coritiba has not won any match at home (0% Win%). The hosts have an alarming shot conversion rate (0%) and have not scored a goal in any home match (100% FTS%), placing them in a very difficult situation. São Paulo dominates in terms of possession (50% vs 29%), efficiency (13% vs 0%), and average xG (0.82 vs 0.78), indicating a clear qualitative advantage. The difference in points per match in the last 5 games (2.6 vs 1.8) and table position (2nd place vs 11th place) further confirm the visitors' advantage. Considering Coritiba's helplessness before their own crowd and São Paulo's solid disposition, a victory for the guests is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Coritiba | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
São Paulo is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - Coritiba · 2.33 pts / match - São Paulo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
São Paulo is 149% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Coritiba · 0.67 goals / match - São Paulo
Coritiba scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
São Paulo scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Coritiba keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Coritiba
Over / Under - São Paulo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
São Paulo is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Coritiba · 1.33 pts / match - São Paulo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Coritiba - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Coritiba
São Paulo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Coritiba | Liga | São Paulo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 3.03 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Coritiba vs São Paulo?
The Serie A match finished Coritiba 0:1 São Paulo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Coritiba vs São Paulo?
Coritiba score 1.67 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.67. The Serie A average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Coritiba's matches and 67% of São Paulo's.
What form are Coritiba and São Paulo in?
Over the last 5 games Coritiba have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and São Paulo 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Coritiba vs São Paulo?
The statistical background for Coritiba vs São Paulo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.