Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence: match statistics
Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Corpus Christi played Charlotte Independence in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Corpus Christi: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Charlotte Independence: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Corpus Christi scores 0.83 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Charlotte Independence scores 1.83 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Corpus Christi 67%, Charlotte Independence 67%. Over 2.5: Corpus Christi 67%, Charlotte Independence 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Charlotte Independence has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.17. Corpus Christi: 10.7 shots per match, Charlotte Independence: 16.3.
Match halves
Corpus Christi: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Charlotte Independence: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Corpus Christi: 76-90+ (3 goals). Charlotte Independence: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Charlotte Independence are the favorites in this matchup: they have 11 goals this season versus 5 for Corpus Christi and a higher xG of 1.92 versus 0.70, indicating superior chance creation quality. The visitors average 16 shots per game and 5.25 shots on target, while the hosts average 8 shots and 0 shots on target per game, with a conversion rate of 0% versus Charlotte’s 9%. In the last 5 matches Charlotte have scored 6 goals and average 1.4 points per game, whereas Corpus Christi have scored 4 goals and average 0.8 points per game, demonstrating the visitors’ edge in productivity and points accumulation. Both teams have shown defensive issues recently (Corpus conceded 9 goals in the last 5, Charlotte 11), so the match could be open, but the visitors’ superior possession (56% vs 43% for the hosts) and better xG favor Charlotte. Considering the hosts’ lack of home wins (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses) and the clear statistics on shots, xG and goals, I assess the probabilities as: away win 60%, draw 25%, home win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 70% (vs 30%) because the metrics strongly indicate both teams will score. On xG, Corpus Christi generates 1.94 xG against Charlotte’s defense allowing 1.74 xG, while Charlotte has 1.92 xG against Corpus Christi’s defense allowing 1.18 xG — both sides are creating around 2.0 xG. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 60% of games, and average goals conceded are 1.8 (home) and 2.2 (away), indicating regular goal concessions. Seasonal indicators are partially conflicting — Charlotte shows a season BTTS of 100% with 11 goals for and 8 against, whereas the hosts show a season BTTS of 0% and 100% clean sheets but simultaneously 5 goals for and 11 against — therefore I weight xG, the last 5 matches and the league BTTS average of 56% more heavily. Overall, the xG profiles (1.94/1.74 and 1.92/1.18), 60% BTTS form in the last 5 and a 56% league BTTS rate lead to a recommendation of BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected xG for the match is approximately 1.84 for Corpus Christi (1.94 xG attack vs 1.74 xG defense Charlotte) and 1.55 for Charlotte (1.92 vs 1.18), yielding a total of 3.39 expected goals. The Poisson distribution for lambda = 3.39 implies ~85% probability for Over 1.5 (at least 2 goals), ~66% for Over 2.5 and ~44% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Data support this: the home side averages 7.0 shots on target with a 15% conversion and 2.5 goals at home, while Charlotte averages 5.25 SoT, 9% conversion and 1.5 goals away — translating into a high number of goal-scoring chances. In the last 5 matches the home team averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (2.6 total), the away team 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded (3.4 total), and Over 2.5 rates are 60% (home last 5) and 80% (away last 5), with season-long 50% for home and 75% for away. Considering the total xG 3.39, SoT 7.0 vs 5.25, superior home conversion (15% vs 9%) and both season and form Over metrics, I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select the X/1 scenario (draw at Half-Time, home win at Full-Time) because Corpus Christi have a 100.0% home win rate and 100.0% clean sheets with an average of 0.0 goals conceded at their stadium, whereas Charlotte have no clean sheets away and concede an average of 2.0 goals on the road. A draw at the break is more likely: the home side were level at half-time in 50.0% of matches and the visitors in 75.0% of cases, providing a strong signal for a draw at 45 minutes. Nevertheless, the hosts average 1.5 goals by half-time and do not concede (1.5 scored, 0.0 conceded), while Charlotte score 1.25 by the break and concede 1.5 on average, and xG of 1.94 versus 1.92 indicates the hosts are more efficient at converting chances (conversion 15% vs 9%). In the second half the home advantage is clear: they earned 6.0 points in second halves and average 3.0 points per game in those periods, with a 100.0% second-half win rate, demonstrating the ability to turn a draw into a win. Therefore I assign the highest probability to X/1 (36%), 1/1 is the main alternative (25%), and the remaining scenarios share the remaining 39%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Corpus Christi | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Charlotte Independence is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Corpus Christi · 1.4 pts / match - Charlotte Independence
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Corpus Christi · 1.83 goals / match - Charlotte Independence
Charlotte Independence is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Corpus Christi · 1.33 goals / match - Charlotte Independence
Corpus Christi scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Charlotte Independence scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Corpus Christi keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Corpus Christi
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charlotte Independence is 134% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Corpus Christi · 1.17 pts / match - Charlotte Independence
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Corpus Christi - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Corpus Christi
Charlotte Independence
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Corpus Christi | Liga | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?
The USL League One match finished Corpus Christi 1:3 Charlotte Independence. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?
Corpus Christi score 0.83 goals per game on average and Charlotte Independence 1.83. The USL League One average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Corpus Christi's matches and 67% of Charlotte Independence's.
What form are Corpus Christi and Charlotte Independence in?
Over the last 5 games Corpus Christi have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Charlotte Independence 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.