Corpus Christi vs Greenville Triumph: match statistics
Corpus Christi vs Greenville Triumph: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Corpus Christi played Greenville Triumph in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 26 July 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Corpus Christi: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Greenville Triumph: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Corpus Christi scores 1.18 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Greenville Triumph scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Corpus Christi 65%, Greenville Triumph 36%. Over 2.5: Corpus Christi 65%, Greenville Triumph 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Greenville Triumph has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.28. Corpus Christi: 10.5 shots per match, Greenville Triumph: 11.9.
Match halves
Corpus Christi: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71. Greenville Triumph: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Corpus Christi: 76-90+ (7 goals). Greenville Triumph: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Corpus Christi holds the edge in attack and chance quality: they average 1.63 goals in home matches with an average xG of 1.45, while Greenville score only 0.57 goals away with an xG of 1.29. The home side records 4.88 on-target shots and 11.63 total shots per home match versus 3.14 on-target and 10.43 total for the visitors away, and finishing efficiency is around 14% compared to just 5% for Greenville. Defensively Corpus Christi concedes 1.13 goals on average at home, while Greenville concedes 1.86 goals on the road; additionally, the share of clean-sheet matches is 25% for the hosts versus 71% for the visitors, which strongly favors the hosts. Form and percentages confirm the advantage: the hosts collect 1.2 points in the last 5 matches and have a 50% home win rate, whereas the visitors have 0.8 points in their last 5 and only a 14% away win rate. Based on this I predict a home win, estimating their win probability at about 68%, a draw at 18%, and an away win at 14%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS as unlikely — I assign 25% probability to "BTTS - Yes" and 75% to "No Goal". The main argument is the away side: Greenville has a season rate of failing to score in 71% of matches and season BTTS only 14%, with an average of 0.57 goals per match — meaning they fail to score in 71% of fixtures. Home side Corpus Christi have a season BTTS of 57% with season averages of 1.43 scored and 1.57 conceded, and in the last 5 matches they have BTTS 60% and average 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded, so they frequently feature in goal matches, but this does not offset the visitors' poor attacking efficiency. xG and conversion analysis further supports "No Goal": Greenville’s season xG_for is 1.29 but they only score 0.57 goals (conversion 5%), and although the away side’s xG in the last 5 matches rises to 1.61, they still average only 0.8 goals in those games, indicating wasted chances. Considering 71% of away matches without a goal, low 5% conversion, and the league BTTS of 55% (which favors the home team), the more consistent signal from the data is that both teams will not score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated xG suggests 1.53 xG for Corpus Christi (1.54 xG of the home side’s attack vs 1.51 xG allowed to Greenville) and 1.31 xG for Greenville (1.29 xG of the away attack vs 1.33 xG allowed to Corpus), yielding a total of 2.84 expected goals. That is effectively equal to the league average of 2.85 goals per match, so a Poisson distribution indicates a high probability of at least two goals (approx. 78% for Over 1.5). Season metrics reinforce this signal: 71% of Corpus Christi’s home matches finish over 1.5 goals, while 86% of Greenville’s away games exceed 1.5. Additionally, Corpus averages 1.43 goals at home with 4.86 shots on target and an 11% conversion rate, whereas Greenville posts 1.29 xG despite an actual goals per game of 0.57 — suggesting an underlying attacking potential from the visitors. Therefore the best and strongest line to back is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Corpus Christi has a clear offensive edge: they average 1.43 goals per match versus Greenville’s 0.57 and have a higher xG (1.54 vs 1.29), with 4.86 shots on target compared to 3.14 and conversion rates of 11% vs 5%. At half-time the home side led in 3 of 7 matches (43%) and score an average of 1.00 goals by the break, while the visitors average only 0.14, which strongly favors Corpus Christi holding a lead at the break. For full-time I expect a home win — the overall probability of a Corpus victory is estimated at about 53%, and the strongest Half-Time/Full-Time scenario is 1/1 (35%), driven by their advantage in xG and shooting opportunities. At the same time, the second-half risk should be considered: the hosts concede on average 1.14 goals after the break while scoring only 0.43, so I also assign a moderate probability to turnaround/equalizing variants (1/X 6%, X/2 11%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Corpus Christi | Greenville Triumph | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Corpus Christi is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Corpus Christi · 0.8 pts / match - Greenville Triumph
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Corpus Christi is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Corpus Christi · 1 goals / match - Greenville Triumph
Corpus Christi is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Corpus Christi · 1.71 goals / match - Greenville Triumph
Corpus Christi scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Greenville Triumph scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Corpus Christi keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Corpus Christi
Over / Under - Greenville Triumph
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Greenville Triumph is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Corpus Christi · 1.29 pts / match - Greenville Triumph
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Corpus Christi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Greenville Triumph - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Corpus Christi
Greenville Triumph
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Corpus Christi | Liga | Greenville Triumph | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Corpus Christi vs Greenville Triumph?
The USL League One match finished Corpus Christi 1:0 Greenville Triumph. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Corpus Christi vs Greenville Triumph?
Corpus Christi score 1.18 goals per game on average and Greenville Triumph 1.00. The USL League One average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Corpus Christi's matches and 36% of Greenville Triumph's.
What form are Corpus Christi and Greenville Triumph in?
Over the last 5 games Corpus Christi have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Greenville Triumph 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Corpus Christi vs Greenville Triumph?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Corpus Christi vs Greenville Triumph: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.