Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante: match statistics
Atlante demonstrates significantly higher efficiency this season with 9 wins and a goal difference of +21 compared to just 3 wins and a -25 difference for Correcaminos UAT. The hosts win only 22% of their home matches, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game, which, given their poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), puts them in a difficult situation. Atlante wins 44% of their away matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal, which indicates solid defense and efficient attack. The advantage in possession (61% for Atlante vs 43% for the hosts) and higher shot accuracy (17% vs 10%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Despite Atlante's recent poorer run, the class difference between the teams is clear enough that the visitors should secure three points in this clash.
Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Correcaminos UAT played Atlante in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Correcaminos UAT: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atlante: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Correcaminos UAT scores 1.00 and concedes 2.32 goals per match. Atlante scores 2.00 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 63%, Atlante 42%. Over 2.5: Correcaminos UAT 63%, Atlante 53%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Atlante has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.15. Correcaminos UAT: 9.2 shots per match, Atlante: 16.7.
Match halves
Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.68. Atlante: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (8 goals). Atlante: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlante demonstrates significantly higher efficiency this season with 9 wins and a goal difference of +21 compared to just 3 wins and a -25 difference for Correcaminos UAT. The hosts win only 22% of their home matches, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game, which, given their poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), puts them in a difficult situation. Atlante wins 44% of their away matches, scoring an average of 2 goals per game while conceding just 1 goal, which indicates solid defense and efficient attack. The advantage in possession (61% for Atlante vs 43% for the hosts) and higher shot accuracy (17% vs 10%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Despite Atlante's recent poorer run, the class difference between the teams is clear enough that the visitors should secure three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Correcaminos UAT | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Correcaminos UAT is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 0.4 pts / match - Atlante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlante is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 2 goals / match - Atlante
Atlante is 161% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.32 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 0.89 goals / match - Atlante
Correcaminos UAT scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Atlante scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
Over / Under - Atlante
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlante is 226% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.47 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.53 pts / match - Atlante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 16%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Correcaminos UAT
Atlante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Correcaminos UAT | Liga | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 2.93 | • 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 54% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 26% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Correcaminos UAT 0 - 0 - 1 Atlante. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?
The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 1:1 Atlante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?
Correcaminos UAT score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlante 2.00. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 42% of Atlante's.
What form are Correcaminos UAT and Atlante in?
Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlante 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Atlante?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.